AB
Alice Bailey — 1930 US Census Record
Linked across censuses1930 United States Federal Census · Osceola, Michigan
Our Model Tree links this Alice Bailey across the 1920 and 1930 US Censuses in Osceola, Michigan (XGBoost, ~Confirmed) — first a daughter (b.~1919), then head of a 8-person household.
Age 11
b. ~1919
Female
Daughter
Born: Michigan
Single
1930 Census Record Details
| Census Year | 1930 |
| Location | Osceola, Michigan |
| Surname | Bailey |
| Given Name | Alice N. |
| Relationship to Head | Daughter |
| Sex | F |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 11 |
| Marital Status | Single |
| Birthplace | Michigan |
| Father's Birthplace | Michigan |
| Mother's Birthplace | Michigan |
| Additional Details | |
| Occupation | none |
| Can Read/Write | Yes |
| Birth State | Michigan |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | michigan |
| Township / Ward | Leroy Village |
| Est. Birth Year | ~1919 |
Household Members
Census records only state relationship to the household head.
Pairwise kinship is derived (~90–95% accurate), not recorded.
Step/blended families and boarders can break it.
8 people recorded at the same address in the 1930 census.
| Name | Relation to head | Relative to Alice | Age | Birth yr |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albert Bailey | Son | — | 9 | ~1921 |
| Keith Bailey | Son | — | 1 | ~1929 |
| Elton Bailey | Son | — | 13 | ~1917 |
| Eugene Bailey | Head | — | 55 | ~1875 |
| Frances Bailey | Daughter | — | 8 | ~1922 |
| Alice Bailey | Daughter | — | 11 | ~1919 |
| Iva Bailey | Spouse | — | 40 | ~1890 |
| Bernard Bailey | Son | — | 5 | ~1925 |
Census Appearances
1920
Osceola, Michigan
Daughter, age 1
Osceola, Michigan · implied b. ~1919 — 5 household members
●
Primary link
· ~Confirmed · 2 sources
XGBoost
Household
| Surname | Bailey |
| Given Name | Alice L |
| Relationship to Head | Daughter |
| Sex | F |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 1 |
| Marital Status | Single |
| Birthplace | Michigan |
| Father's Birthplace | Michigan |
| Mother's Birthplace | Michigan |
| Birth State | Michigan |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | michigan |
1930
Osceola, Michigan
Daughter, age 11
Osceola, Michigan · implied b. ~1919 — 8 household members
| Surname | Bailey |
| Given Name | Alice N. |
| Relationship to Head | Daughter |
| Sex | F |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 11 |
| Marital Status | Single |
| Birthplace | Michigan |
| Father's Birthplace | Michigan |
| Mother's Birthplace | Michigan |
| Occupation | none |
| Can Read/Write | Yes |
| Birth State | Michigan |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | michigan |
Model Tree
An inferred pedigree reconstructed from census links — up to 4 generations within the 1900–1950 window. Closer generations are built from household co-residence; deeper ones are bridged by following a relative to their own childhood census. Confidence compounds and weakens with each generation.
Our Model Tree links Alice Bailey across 2 US Census years (1920 and 1930) in Osceola, Michigan, using XGBoost record linkage.
Show:
This person
Anchor record
Alice Bailey
Daughter · 1930 · age 11 · b. ~1919 · Michigan
★ You are viewing this record
Sibling
Albert Bailey
Sibling · 1930 · age 9
Source co-child of head (derived)
● Co-child · derived · ~0.88
Sibling
Keith Bailey
Sibling · 1930 · age 1
Source co-child of head (derived)
● Co-child · derived · ~0.88
Sibling
Elton Bailey
Sibling · 1930 · age 13
Source co-child of head (derived)
● Co-child · derived · ~0.88
Sibling
Frances Bailey
Sibling · 1930 · age 8
Source co-child of head (derived)
● Co-child · derived · ~0.88
Sibling
Bernard Bailey
Sibling · 1930 · age 5
Source co-child of head (derived)
● Co-child · derived · ~0.88
Confirmed / household (~0.90+)
Probable / derived (~0.65–0.89)
Candidate (<0.65, unverified)
Original Census Page
1930 US Federal Census — Osceola, Michigan
Open full size
1930 US Federal Census — Osceola, Michigan
Page Contents
50 people indexed on this census page (ia:1930:michigancensus00reel1020:0823)
| Line | Name | Age | Relation | Occupation | Birthplace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rube Bowman | 47 | Head | Farmer | Indiana |
| 2 | Cora Bowman | 47 | Wife | None | Michigan |
| 3 | M. Marie Bowman | 22 | Daughter | None | Michigan |
| 4 | Raymond L. Bowman | 20 | Son | Farm Laborer | Michigan |
| 5 | Violet E. Bowman | 17 | Daughter | None | Michigan |
| 6 | M. Edith Bowman | 13 | Daughter | None | Michigan |
| 7 | Sylvester G. Bowman | 8 | Son | None | Michigan |
| 8 | M. Joseph Bowman | 7 | Son | None | Michigan |
| 9 | Alberta B. Bowman | 5 | Daughter | None | Michigan |
| 10 | Audrey J. Bowman | 2 | Daughter | None | Michigan |
| 11 | Hulda E. Engstrom | 52 | Head | General Farming | Sweden |
| 12 | Edwin R. Engstrom | 31 | Son | Farmer | Michigan |
| 13 | Florence L. Gustafson | 13 | Foster Daughter | None | Michigan |
| 14 | Leonard J. Engstrom | 29 | Son-at- | None | Michigan |
| 15 | Richard Gustafson | 35 | Head | Carpenter | Michigan |
| 16 | Esther Gustafson | 26 | Wife | None | Michigan |
| 17 | Irwin R. Gustafson | 2 | Son | None | Michigan |
| 18 | Olof Thostrom | 78 | Head | None | Sweden |
| 19 | Karen Thostrom | 71 | Wife | None | Sweden |
| 20 | Edward G. Larson | 47 | Head | Merchant | Michigan |
| 21 | Marie G. Larson | 52 | Wife | None | Sweden |
| 22 | Milton G. Larson | 13 | Son | None | Michigan |
| 23 | Eugene Bailey | 55 | Head | Janitor | Michigan |
| 24 | Iva Bailey | 40 | Wife | None | Michigan |
| 25 | Elton E. Bailey | 13 | Son | None | Michigan |
| 26 | Alice N. Bailey THIS PERSON | 11 | Daughter | None | Michigan |
| 27 | Albert A. Bailey | 9 | Son | None | Michigan |
| 28 | Frances M. Bailey | 8 | Daughter | None | Michigan |
| 29 | Bernard B. Bailey | 5 | Son | None | Michigan |
| 30 | Keith R. Bailey | 1 | Son | None | Michigan |
| 31 | Merle Knappenburg | 33 | Head | Proprietor | Michigan |
| 32 | Minnie Knappenburg | 21 | Wife | Waitress | Michigan |
| 33 | Allie M. Knappenburg | 61 | Mother | None | New York |
| 34 | Keith Knappenburg | 2 | Son | None | Michigan |
| 35 | Louis J. Knappenburg | 0 | Son | None | Michigan |
| 36 | Alfred Peterson | 53 | Head | Farmer | Sweden |
| 37 | Hannah Peterson | 50 | Wife | None | Sweden |
| 38 | Hazel J. Peterson | 16 | Daughter | None | Michigan |
| 39 | Arden M. Peterson | 12 | Son | None | Michigan |
| 40 | Henry Ochs | 59 | Head | None | Germany |
| 41 | Etta Ochs | 49 | Wife | None | Michigan |
| 42 | Kathryn A. Vipke | 19 | Daughter | None | Michigan |
| 43 | John Frisk | 40 | Head | Foreman | Michigan |
| 44 | Roxie Frisk | 27 | Wife | None | Michigan |
| 45 | Marjorie E. Frisk | 10 | Daughter | None | Michigan |
| 46 | Geraldine E. Frisk | 7 | Daughter | None | Michigan |
| 47 | Evelyn J. Frisk | 5 | Daughter | None | Michigan |
| 48 | Doris L. Frisk | 3 | Daughter | None | Michigan |
| 49 | Marian L. Frisk | 1 | Daughter | None | Michigan |
| 50 | Norma X. Frisk | 0 | Daughter | None | Michigan |
About This Record & Model Tree
This record was independently indexed by YourRoots from the 1930 United States Federal Census (NARA). Our Model Tree links this person across census decades using XGBoost-based record linkage, with per-link confidence scores. Household corroboration strengthens the signal when co-residents appear on the same census pages in multiple years.
Source: National Archives and Records Administration (NARA)