AB
Arthur Bailey — 1940 US Census Record
Model Tree available1940 United States Federal Census · Monroe-County, New York
Our Model Tree links this Arthur Bailey across the 1920, 1930 and 1940 US Censuses in Monroe-County, New York (XGBoost, ~Confirmed), with identified parents William & Elizabeth — first a head (b.~1886), then head of a 3-person household.
Age 54
b. ~1886
Male
Head
Born: New York
Married
1940 Census Record Details
| Census Year | 1940 |
| Location | Monroe-County, New York |
| Surname | Bailey |
| Given Name | Arthur T. |
| Relationship to Head | Head |
| Sex | M |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 54 |
| Marital Status | Married |
| Birthplace | New York |
| 1935 Residence (City) | Chili Town |
| 1935 Residence (County) | Monroe |
| Additional Details | |
| Occupation | farmer |
| Industry | farm |
| Class of Worker | OA |
| Hours Worked | 48 |
| Income (1939) | 0 |
| Highest Grade | No 2 |
| 1935 Residence | Same place |
| Birth State | New York |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | new york |
| Occupation | Farmer |
| Township / Ward | Chili Town |
| Est. Birth Year | ~1886 |
Household Members
Census records only state relationship to the household head.
Pairwise kinship is derived (~90–95% accurate), not recorded.
Step/blended families and boarders can break it.
3 people recorded at the same address in the 1940 census.
| Name | Relation to head | Relative to Arthur | Age | Birth yr |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruby Bailey | Spouse | — | 56 | ~1884 |
| Arthur Bailey | Head | — | 54 | ~1886 |
| Evelyn Bailey | Daughter | — | 30 | ~1910 |
Census Appearances
1920
Monroe, New …
Son, age 32
Monroe, New York · implied b. ~1888 — 6 household members
●
Primary link
· ~Confirmed · 2 sources
XGBoost
Household
| Surname | Bailey |
| Given Name | Arthur |
| Relationship to Head | Son |
| Sex | M |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 32 |
| Marital Status | Married |
| Birthplace | New York |
| Father's Birthplace | England |
| Mother's Birthplace | England |
| Occupation | Farmer |
| Industry | Gen Farm |
| Class of Worker | OA |
| Can Read | Yes |
| Can Write | Yes |
| Speaks English | Yes |
| Birth State | New York |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | new york |
1930
Monroe, New …
Son, age 44
Monroe, New York · implied b. ~1886 — 6 household members
●
Primary link
· ~Confirmed · 2 sources
XGBoost
Household
| Surname | Bailey |
| Given Name | Arthur T. |
| Relationship to Head | Son |
| Sex | M |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 44 |
| Marital Status | Married |
| Birthplace | New York |
| Age at First Marriage | 21 |
| Father's Birthplace | England |
| Mother's Birthplace | England |
| Occupation | Farmer |
| Industry | General farm |
| Class of Worker | W |
| Can Read/Write | Yes |
| Veteran | No |
| Birth State | New York |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | new york |
1940
Monroe-County, New …
Head, age 54
Monroe-County, New York · implied b. ~1886 — 3 household members
| Surname | Bailey |
| Given Name | Arthur T. |
| Relationship to Head | Head |
| Sex | M |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 54 |
| Marital Status | Married |
| Birthplace | New York |
| 1935 Residence (City) | Chili Town |
| 1935 Residence (County) | Monroe |
| Occupation | farmer |
| Industry | farm |
| Class of Worker | OA |
| Hours Worked | 48 |
| Income (1939) | 0 |
| Highest Grade | No 2 |
| 1935 Residence | Same place |
| Birth State | New York |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | new york |
Model Tree
An inferred pedigree reconstructed from census links — up to 4 generations within the 1900–1950 window. Closer generations are built from household co-residence; deeper ones are bridged by following a relative to their own childhood census. Confidence compounds and weakens with each generation.
Our Model Tree links Arthur Bailey across 3 US Census years (1920, 1930 and 1940) in 2 locations, using XGBoost record linkage. Identified parents: father William Bailey (~0.92 confidence) and mother Elizabeth Bailey (~0.92 confidence). The pedigree spans 1 generation with 2 identified ancestors.
Show:
Gen 1
Parents
confidence ≈ 0.92
Father
William Bailey
b. ~1848
Source father
● Household
· direct · ~0.92
Mother
Elizabeth Bailey
b. ~1848
Source mother
● Household
· direct · ~0.92
This person
Anchor record
Arthur Bailey
Head · 1940 · age 54 · b. ~1886 · New York
★ You are viewing this record
Confirmed / household (~0.90+)
Probable / derived (~0.65–0.89)
Candidate (<0.65, unverified)
Original Census Page
1940 US Federal Census — Monroe-County, New York
Open full size
1940 US Federal Census — Monroe-County, New York
Page Contents
40 people indexed on this census page (nara:1940:m-t0627-02678-00412)
| Line | Name | Age | Relation | Occupation | Birthplace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Richmond Sheriff | 72 | Head | Salesman | Maryland |
| 2 | Stella Sheriff | 71 | Wife | — | D.C. |
| 3 | Alfred O. Stratman | 51 | Head | None | Germany |
| 4 | Martha O. Stratman | 38 | Wife | — | Germany |
| 5 | Ernest L. Stratman | 7 | Son | — | New York |
| 6 | Violet W. Stratman | 4 | Son | — | New York |
| 7 | John Thornberg | 69 | Head | — | Germany |
| 8 | William F. Line | 34 | Head | Section Laborer | New York |
| 9 | Anna Z. Line | 33 | Wife | Caretaker | Germany |
| 10 | Rose Mary Line | 7 | Daughter | — | New York |
| 11 | Carl Wurnick | 84 | Head | — | Germany |
| 12 | Anna P. Wurnick | 73 | Wife | — | Germany |
| 13 | Charles E. Coleman | 54 | Head | — | New York |
| 14 | Ray H. Daniel | 50 | Son-in-law | Farmer | New York |
| 15 | Vesta C. Daniel | 52 | Daughter | — | New York |
| 16 | Rachel E. Daniel | 22 | Granddaughter | Calculating | New York |
| 17 | Stanley R. Daniel | 19 | Grandson | Farmer | New York |
| 18 | Eugene S. Stein | 55 | Head | Farmer | New York |
| 19 | Julia F. Stein | 49 | Wife | — | New York |
| 20 | Hubert W. Stein | 20 | Son | Farmer | New York |
| 21 | Raymond J. Stein | 18 | Son | Farmer | New York |
| 22 | Kathryn M. Stein | 17 | Daughter | — | New York |
| 23 | Lois J. Stein | 15 | Daughter | — | New York |
| 24 | Helen V. Stein | 13 | Daughter | — | New York |
| 25 | Paul E. Stein | 5 | Son | — | New York |
| 26 | Arthur T. Bailey THIS PERSON | 54 | Head | Farmer | New York |
| 27 | Ruby E. Bailey | 56 | Wife | — | New York |
| 28 | Evelyn R. Bailey | 30 | Daughter | Lithograph Operator | New York |
| 29 | Benedict Volkmann | 57 | Head | Elevator Operator | Germany |
| 30 | Emma Volkmann | 52 | Wife | — | Germany |
| 31 | Fred Volkmann | 30 | Son | Farmer | Germany |
| 32 | Otto Volkmann | 17 | Son | Farmer | Germany |
| 33 | William Pikwet | 75 | Head | Farmer | England |
| 34 | Allan Pikwet | 70 | Wife | — | Holland |
| 35 | William Jr. Pikwet | 40 | Son | Shovel Operator | Illinois |
| 36 | Ivan C. Pikwet | 32 | Head | Farm Laborer | Illinois |
| 37 | Ruby M. Pikwet | 30 | Wife | Hairdresser | New York |
| 38 | Anthony J. Donato | 49 | Head | Section Foreman | Italy |
| 39 | Raffaela Donato | 55 | Wife | — | Italy |
| 40 | Phyllis A. Donato | 24 | Daughter | — | Pennsylvania |
Pedigree Summary
Arthur
Gen 1 · 2 parents
~0.92
Max depth 4 (1900–1950 window)
About This Record & Model Tree
This record was independently indexed by YourRoots from the 1940 United States Federal Census (NARA). Our Model Tree links this person across census decades using XGBoost-based record linkage, with per-link confidence scores. Household corroboration strengthens the signal when co-residents appear on the same census pages in multiple years.
Source: National Archives and Records Administration (NARA)