AB
Arthur Bailey — 1940 US Census Record
Linked across censuses1940 United States Federal Census · Avery-County, North Carolina
Our Model Tree links this Arthur Bailey across the 1930 and 1940 US Censuses in Avery-County, North Carolina (XGBoost, ~Confirmed) — first a son (b.~1921), then head of a 10-person household.
Age 19
b. ~1921
Male
Son
Born: North Carolina
Single
1940 Census Record Details
| Census Year | 1940 |
| Location | Avery-County, North Carolina |
| Surname | Bailey |
| Given Name | Arthur |
| Relationship to Head | son |
| Sex | M |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 19 |
| Marital Status | Single |
| Birthplace | North Carolina |
| 1935 Residence (City) | Roaring Creek Twp |
| 1935 Residence (County) | Avery |
| Additional Details | |
| Occupation | Farm Labor |
| Industry | Farm |
| Class of Worker | PW |
| Hours Worked | 8 |
| Income (1939) | 90 |
| Highest Grade | No 4 |
| 1935 Residence | Same place |
| Birth State | North Carolina |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | north carolina |
| Occupation | Farm Laborer |
| Township / Ward | Roaring Creek Twp |
| Est. Birth Year | ~1921 |
Household Members
Census records only state relationship to the household head.
Pairwise kinship is derived (~90–95% accurate), not recorded.
Step/blended families and boarders can break it.
10 people recorded at the same address in the 1940 census.
| Name | Relation to head | Relative to Arthur | Age | Birth yr |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grover Bailey | Son | — | 16 | ~1924 |
| Jennie Bailey | Daughter | — | 13 | ~1927 |
| Norma Bailey | Son | — | 12 | ~1928 |
| Alvin Bailey | Son | — | 2 | ~1938 |
| Homer Bailey | Head | — | 55 | ~1885 |
| Mayleta Bailey | Daughter | — | 26 | ~1914 |
| Jessie Bailey | Spouse | — | 50 | ~1890 |
| Conules Bailey | Son | — | 10 | ~1930 |
| Marie Bailey | Daughter | — | 4 | ~1936 |
| Arthur Bailey | Son | — | 19 | ~1921 |
Census Appearances
1930
Avery, North …
Son, age 9
Avery, North Carolina · implied b. ~1921 — 11 household members
●
Primary link
· ~Confirmed · 2 sources
XGBoost
Household
| Surname | Bailey |
| Given Name | Arthur |
| Relationship to Head | Son |
| Sex | M |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 9 |
| Marital Status | Single |
| Birthplace | North Carolina |
| Father's Birthplace | North Carolina |
| Mother's Birthplace | North Carolina |
| Can Read/Write | Yes |
| Birth State | North Carolina |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | north carolina |
1940
Avery-County, North …
Son, age 19
Avery-County, North Carolina · implied b. ~1921 — 10 household members
| Surname | Bailey |
| Given Name | Arthur |
| Relationship to Head | son |
| Sex | M |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 19 |
| Marital Status | Single |
| Birthplace | North Carolina |
| 1935 Residence (City) | Roaring Creek Twp |
| 1935 Residence (County) | Avery |
| Occupation | Farm Labor |
| Industry | Farm |
| Class of Worker | PW |
| Hours Worked | 8 |
| Income (1939) | 90 |
| Highest Grade | No 4 |
| 1935 Residence | Same place |
| Birth State | North Carolina |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | north carolina |
Model Tree
An inferred pedigree reconstructed from census links — up to 4 generations within the 1900–1950 window. Closer generations are built from household co-residence; deeper ones are bridged by following a relative to their own childhood census. Confidence compounds and weakens with each generation.
Our Model Tree links Arthur Bailey across 2 US Census years (1930 and 1940) in 2 locations, using XGBoost record linkage.
Show:
This person
Anchor record
Arthur Bailey
Son · 1940 · age 19 · b. ~1921 · North Carolina
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Sibling
Alvin Bailey
Sibling · 1940 · age 2
Source co-child of head (derived)
● Co-child · derived · ~0.88
Sibling
Norma Bailey
Sibling · 1940 · age 12
Source co-child of head (derived)
● Co-child · derived · ~0.88
Sibling
Marie Bailey
Sibling · 1940 · age 4
Source co-child of head (derived)
● Co-child · derived · ~0.88
Sibling
Jennie Bailey
Sibling · 1940 · age 13
Source co-child of head (derived)
● Co-child · derived · ~0.88
Sibling
Conules Bailey
Sibling · 1940 · age 10
Source co-child of head (derived)
● Co-child · derived · ~0.88
Sibling
Grover Bailey
Sibling · 1940 · age 16
Source co-child of head (derived)
● Co-child · derived · ~0.88
Sibling
Mayleta Bailey
Sibling · 1940 · age 26
Source co-child of head (derived)
● Co-child · derived · ~0.88
Confirmed / household (~0.90+)
Probable / derived (~0.65–0.89)
Candidate (<0.65, unverified)
Original Census Page
1940 US Federal Census — Avery-County, North Carolina
Open full size
1940 US Federal Census — Avery-County, North Carolina
Page Contents
40 people indexed on this census page (nara:1940:m-t0627-02872-00963)
| Line | Name | Age | Relation | Occupation | Birthplace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Billie Singleton | 5 | son | — | North Carolina |
| 2 | Thelma Singleton | 3 | daughter | — | North Carolina |
| 3 | Robert Hughes | 43 | Head | Logging | North Carolina |
| 4 | Nellie Hughes | 40 | Wife | — | North Carolina |
| 5 | George Hughes | 19 | son | Farm Labor | North Carolina |
| 6 | Luther Wess | 44 | Head | Lumber | North Carolina |
| 7 | Flavie Wess | 45 | Wife | — | North Carolina |
| 8 | Shelton Wess | 21 | daughter | — | North Carolina |
| 9 | Paul Wess | 23 | son | Farm Labor | North Carolina |
| 10 | Bernie Wess | 14 | son | — | North Carolina |
| 11 | Ruby Wess | 10 | son | — | North Carolina |
| 12 | Lawrence Wess | 6 | son | — | North Carolina |
| 13 | Claton Hughes | 23 | Head | Laborer | North Carolina |
| 14 | Eria Hughes | 23 | Wife | — | North Carolina |
| 15 | R. H. Wingfield | 37 | Head | Feldspar Mine | Virginia |
| 16 | Nee Wingfield | 30 | Wife | — | North Carolina |
| 17 | Allen Miller | 77 | Head | Farmer | North Carolina |
| 18 | Markidia Miller | 60 | Wife | — | North Carolina |
| 19 | Laura Miller | 38 | daughter | — | North Carolina |
| 20 | Rhetta Mccray | 30 | Head | Leader | North Carolina |
| 21 | Ethel Mccray | 14 | daughter | — | North Carolina |
| 22 | Jack Mccray | 9 | son | — | North Carolina |
| 23 | Edith Mccray | 8 | daughter | — | North Carolina |
| 24 | Vina Mccray | 83 | Mother in law | — | North Carolina |
| 25 | Ruth Mccray | 24 | Niece | — | North Carolina |
| 26 | Hubert Miller | 25 | Lodger | — | West Virginia |
| 27 | John Baker | 52 | Lodger | Engineer | North Carolina |
| 28 | Homer Bailey | 55 | Head | Farmer | North Carolina |
| 29 | Jessie Bailey | 50 | Wife | — | North Carolina |
| 30 | Mayleta Bailey | 26 | daughter | Wash Woman | North Carolina |
| 31 | Arthur Bailey THIS PERSON | 19 | son | Farm Labor | North Carolina |
| 32 | Grover Bailey | 16 | son | Farm Labor | North Carolina |
| 33 | Norma Bailey | 12 | son | — | North Carolina |
| 34 | Jennie Bell Bailey | 13 | daughter | — | North Carolina |
| 35 | Conules Bailey | 10 | son | — | North Carolina |
| 36 | Marie Bailey | 4 | daughter | — | North Carolina |
| 37 | Alvin Bailey | 2 | son | — | New York |
| 38 | William Zoom | 40 | Head | Laborer | Virginia |
| 39 | Gertrude Zoom | 32 | Wife | — | North Carolina |
| 40 | Mildred Zoom | 11 | daughter | — | North Carolina |
About This Record & Model Tree
This record was independently indexed by YourRoots from the 1940 United States Federal Census (NARA). Our Model Tree links this person across census decades using XGBoost-based record linkage, with per-link confidence scores. Household corroboration strengthens the signal when co-residents appear on the same census pages in multiple years.
Source: National Archives and Records Administration (NARA)