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Edward Bailey — 1940 US Census Record
Model Tree available1940 United States Federal Census · Polk-County, Arkansas
Our Model Tree links this Edward Bailey across the 1920, 1930 and 1940 US Censuses in Polk-County, Arkansas (XGBoost, ~Confirmed), with identified parents Edward & Edward — first a son (b.~1919), then head of a 6-person household.
Age 21
b. ~1919
Male
Son
Born: Arkansas
Single
1940 Census Record Details
| Census Year | 1940 |
| Location | Polk-County, Arkansas |
| Surname | Bailey |
| Given Name | Edward D. |
| Relationship to Head | Son |
| Sex | M |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 21 |
| Marital Status | Single |
| Birthplace | Arkansas |
| 1935 Residence (City) | R |
| 1935 Residence (County) | Polk |
| Additional Details | |
| Occupation | Road Const. |
| Industry | P.P. Pump |
| Class of Worker | PW |
| Hours Worked | 24 |
| Income (1939) | 90 |
| Highest Grade | No 7 |
| 1935 Residence | Arkansas |
| Birth State | Arkansas |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | arkansas |
| Occupation | Road Const. |
| Township / Ward | Potter |
| Est. Birth Year | ~1919 |
Household Members
Census records only state relationship to the household head.
Pairwise kinship is derived (~90–95% accurate), not recorded.
Step/blended families and boarders can break it.
6 people recorded at the same address in the 1940 census.
| Name | Relation to head | Relative to Edward | Age | Birth yr |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naomi Bailey | Daughter | — | 5 | ~1935 |
| Edward Bailey | Son | — | 21 | ~1919 |
| Edward Bailey | Head | — | 45 | ~1895 |
| Hester Bailey | Son | — | 18 | ~1922 |
| Floyd Bailey | Son | — | 16 | ~1924 |
| Mary Bailey | Spouse | — | 38 | ~1902 |
Census Appearances
1920
Polk, Arkansas
Son, age 1
Polk, Arkansas · implied b. ~1919 — 3 household members
●
Primary link
· ~Confirmed · 2 sources
XGBoost
Household
| Surname | Bailey |
| Given Name | Edward D |
| Relationship to Head | Son |
| Sex | M |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 1 |
| Marital Status | Single |
| Birthplace | Arkansas |
| Father's Birthplace | Arkansas |
| Mother's Birthplace | Arkansas |
| Birth State | Arkansas |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | arkansas |
1930
Polk, Arkansas
Son, age 11
Polk, Arkansas · implied b. ~1919 — 4 household members
●
Primary link
· ~Confirmed · 2 sources
XGBoost
Household
| Surname | Bailey |
| Given Name | Edward W |
| Relationship to Head | Son |
| Sex | M |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 11 |
| Marital Status | Single |
| Birthplace | Arkansas |
| Father's Birthplace | Arkansas |
| Mother's Birthplace | Arkansas |
| Can Read/Write | Yes |
| Birth State | Arkansas |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | arkansas |
1940
Polk-County, Arkansas
Son, age 21
Polk-County, Arkansas · implied b. ~1919 — 6 household members
| Surname | Bailey |
| Given Name | Edward D. |
| Relationship to Head | Son |
| Sex | M |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 21 |
| Marital Status | Single |
| Birthplace | Arkansas |
| 1935 Residence (City) | R |
| 1935 Residence (County) | Polk |
| Occupation | Road Const. |
| Industry | P.P. Pump |
| Class of Worker | PW |
| Hours Worked | 24 |
| Income (1939) | 90 |
| Highest Grade | No 7 |
| 1935 Residence | Arkansas |
| Birth State | Arkansas |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | arkansas |
Model Tree
An inferred pedigree reconstructed from census links — up to 4 generations within the 1900–1950 window. Closer generations are built from household co-residence; deeper ones are bridged by following a relative to their own childhood census. Confidence compounds and weakens with each generation.
Our Model Tree links Edward Bailey across 3 US Census years (1920, 1930 and 1940) in 2 locations, using XGBoost record linkage. Identified parents: father Edward Bailey (~0.92 confidence) and father Edward Bailey (~0.92 confidence) and mother Eva Bailey (~0.92 confidence) and mother Mary Bailey (~0.92 confidence). The pedigree spans 1 generation with 4 identified ancestors.
Show:
Gen 1
Parents
confidence ≈ 0.92
Father
Edward Bailey
b. ~1895
Source father
● Household
· direct · ~0.92
Father
Edward Bailey
b. ~1895
Source father
● Household
· direct · ~0.92
Mother
Eva Bailey
b. ~1902
Source mother
● Household
· direct · ~0.92
Mother
Mary Bailey
b. ~1902
Source mother
● Household
· direct · ~0.92
This person
Anchor record
Edward Bailey
Son · 1940 · age 21 · b. ~1919 · Arkansas
★ You are viewing this record
Sibling
Naomi Bailey
Sibling · 1940 · age 5
Source co-child of head (derived)
● Co-child · derived · ~0.88
Sibling
Hester Bailey
Sibling · 1940 · age 18
Source co-child of head (derived)
● Co-child · derived · ~0.88
Sibling
Floyd Bailey
Sibling · 1940 · age 16
Source co-child of head (derived)
● Co-child · derived · ~0.88
Confirmed / household (~0.90+)
Probable / derived (~0.65–0.89)
Candidate (<0.65, unverified)
Original Census Page
1940 US Federal Census — Polk-County, Arkansas
Open full size
1940 US Federal Census — Polk-County, Arkansas
Page Contents
40 people indexed on this census page (nara:1940:m-t0627-00163-00388)
| Line | Name | Age | Relation | Occupation | Birthplace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | Francis Ehreh | 14 | Daughter | — | Arkansas |
| 42 | Edward Bailey | 45 | Head | Farming | Arkansas |
| 43 | Mary E. Bailey | 38 | Wife | — | Arkansas |
| 44 | Edward D. Bailey THIS PERSON | 21 | Son | Road Const. | Arkansas |
| 45 | Hester Bailey | 18 | Son | Farming | Arkansas |
| 46 | Floyd Bailey | 16 | Son | Farming | Arkansas |
| 47 | Naomi M. Bailey | 5 | Daughter | — | Arkansas |
| 48 | Leroy A. Huston | 47 | Head | Farming | New York |
| 49 | Jessie D. Huston | 47 | Wife | — | Texas |
| 50 | Philip H. Gertsch | 19 | Hired Hand | Farming | Oklahoma |
| 51 | Elmer A. Terry | 67 | Head | Farming | Iowa |
| 52 | Minnie M. Terry | 65 | Wife | — | Indiana |
| 53 | Charles C. Lance | 24 | Head | Laborer | Arkansas |
| 54 | Letha B. Lance | 22 | Wife | — | Oklahoma |
| 55 | Charlotte M. Lance | 3 | Daughter | — | Louisiana |
| 56 | Thelma L. Lance | 2 | Daughter | — | Arkansas |
| 57 | Wanda J. Lance | 1 | Daughter | — | Arkansas |
| 58 | Silas P. Lance | 47 | Head | Farming | North Carolina |
| 59 | Genevieve Lance | 50 | Wife | — | Ohio |
| 60 | Lillie M. Lance | 26 | Daughter | — | Arkansas |
| 61 | Perry G. Lance | 21 | Son | Farming | Arkansas |
| 62 | Gladys E. Lance | 18 | Daughter | — | Arkansas |
| 63 | Clinton J. Lance | 16 | Son | Farming | Arkansas |
| 64 | Ina Lance | 13 | Daughter | — | Arkansas |
| 65 | Margaretta R. Lance | 81 | Head | — | North Carolina |
| 66 | Finley E. Lance | 47 | Son | — | North Carolina |
| 67 | Clifton H. Holmes | 31 | Head | Laborer | Oklahoma |
| 68 | Irene Holmes | 30 | Wife | — | Oklahoma |
| 69 | Dale G. Holmes | 6 | Son | — | Arkansas |
| 70 | Frederick Holmes | 4 | Son | — | Arkansas |
| 71 | Dara L. Holmes | 3 | Daughter | — | Arkansas |
| 72 | Frederick N. Holmes | 69 | Head | — | Missouri |
| 73 | Cynthia J. Holmes | 71 | Wife | — | Arkansas |
| 74 | Harvey Davis | 28 | Head | Farming | Texas |
| 75 | Letha E. Davis | 22 | Wife | — | Oklahoma |
| 76 | Esther S. Davis | 55 | Mother | — | Alabama |
| 77 | Henry G. Davis | 27 | Head | Farming | Alabama |
| 78 | Edith L. Davis | 25 | Wife | — | Arkansas |
| 79 | Coach Davis | 66 | Father | — | Alabama |
| 80 | Fred L. Yahn | 74 | Head | Farming | Pennsylvania |
Pedigree Summary
Edward + 3 siblings
Gen 1 · 4 parents
~0.92
Max depth 4 (1900–1950 window)
About This Record & Model Tree
This record was independently indexed by YourRoots from the 1940 United States Federal Census (NARA). Our Model Tree links this person across census decades using XGBoost-based record linkage, with per-link confidence scores. Household corroboration strengthens the signal when co-residents appear on the same census pages in multiple years.
Source: National Archives and Records Administration (NARA)