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Elizabeth Bailey — 1940 US Census Record
Linked across censuses1940 United States Federal Census · Forsyth-County, North Carolina
Our Model Tree links this Elizabeth Bailey across the 1930 and 1940 US Censuses in Forsyth-County, North Carolina (XGBoost, ~Confirmed) — first a daughter (b.~1924), then head of a 10-person household.
Age 16
b. ~1924
Female
Daughter
Born: North Carolina
Single
1940 Census Record Details
| Census Year | 1940 |
| Location | Forsyth-County, North Carolina |
| Surname | BAILEY |
| Given Name | ELIZABETH |
| Relationship to Head | Daughter |
| Sex | F |
| Color / Race | Black |
| Age | 16 |
| Marital Status | Single |
| Birthplace | North Carolina |
| 1935 Residence (City) | WINSTON-SALEM |
| 1935 Residence (County) | FORSYTHE |
| Additional Details | |
| Highest Grade | Yes H-2 |
| 1935 Residence | Same Place |
| Birth State | North Carolina |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | north carolina |
| Township / Ward | Winstonsalem |
| Est. Birth Year | ~1924 |
Household Members
Census records only state relationship to the household head.
Pairwise kinship is derived (~90–95% accurate), not recorded.
Step/blended families and boarders can break it.
10 people recorded at the same address in the 1940 census.
| Name | Relation to head | Relative to Elizabeth | Age | Birth yr |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velmon Bailey | Daughter | — | 4 | ~1936 |
| Christina Bailey | Daughter | — | 6 | ~1934 |
| Estella Bailey | Spouse | — | 28 | ~1912 |
| Edmonta Bailey | Daughter | — | 12 | ~1928 |
| Julius Bailey | Son | — | 14 | ~1926 |
| Jelena Bailey | Daughter | — | 8 | ~1932 |
| Mary Bailey | Daughter | — | 2 | ~1938 |
| Elizabeth Bailey | Daughter | — | 16 | ~1924 |
| Lorenza Bailey | Son | — | 10 | ~1930 |
| Jonas Bailey | Head | — | 37 | ~1903 |
Census Appearances
1930
Forsyth, North …
Daughter, age 6
Forsyth, North Carolina · implied b. ~1924 — 7 household members
●
Primary link
· ~Confirmed · 2 sources
XGBoost
Household
| Surname | Bailey |
| Given Name | Elizabeth |
| Relationship to Head | Daughter |
| Sex | F |
| Color / Race | Black |
| Age | 6 |
| Marital Status | Single |
| Birthplace | North Carolina |
| Father's Birthplace | North Carolina |
| Mother's Birthplace | South Carolina |
| Birth State | North Carolina |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | north carolina |
1940
Forsyth-County, North …
Daughter, age 16
Forsyth-County, North Carolina · implied b. ~1924 — 10 household members
| Surname | BAILEY |
| Given Name | ELIZABETH |
| Relationship to Head | Daughter |
| Sex | F |
| Color / Race | Black |
| Age | 16 |
| Marital Status | Single |
| Birthplace | North Carolina |
| 1935 Residence (City) | WINSTON-SALEM |
| 1935 Residence (County) | FORSYTHE |
| Highest Grade | Yes H-2 |
| 1935 Residence | Same Place |
| Birth State | North Carolina |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | north carolina |
Model Tree
An inferred pedigree reconstructed from census links — up to 4 generations within the 1900–1950 window. Closer generations are built from household co-residence; deeper ones are bridged by following a relative to their own childhood census. Confidence compounds and weakens with each generation.
Our Model Tree links Elizabeth Bailey across 2 US Census years (1930 and 1940) in 2 locations, using XGBoost record linkage.
Show:
This person
Anchor record
Elizabeth Bailey
Daughter · 1940 · age 16 · b. ~1924 · North Carolina
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Sibling
Mary Bailey
Sibling · 1940 · age 2
Source co-child of head (derived)
● Co-child · derived · ~0.88
Sibling
Velmon Bailey
Sibling · 1940 · age 4
Source co-child of head (derived)
● Co-child · derived · ~0.88
Sibling
Jelena Bailey
Sibling · 1940 · age 8
Source co-child of head (derived)
● Co-child · derived · ~0.88
Sibling
Julius Bailey
Sibling · 1940 · age 14
Source co-child of head (derived)
● Co-child · derived · ~0.88
Sibling
Edmonta Bailey
Sibling · 1940 · age 12
Source co-child of head (derived)
● Co-child · derived · ~0.88
Sibling
Christina Bailey
Sibling · 1940 · age 6
Source co-child of head (derived)
● Co-child · derived · ~0.88
Sibling
Lorenza Bailey
Sibling · 1940 · age 10
Source co-child of head (derived)
● Co-child · derived · ~0.88
Confirmed / household (~0.90+)
Probable / derived (~0.65–0.89)
Candidate (<0.65, unverified)
Original Census Page
1940 US Federal Census — Forsyth-County, North Carolina
Open full size
1940 US Federal Census — Forsyth-County, North Carolina
Page Contents
40 people indexed on this census page (nara:1940:m-t0627-02910-00404)
| Line | Name | Age | Relation | Occupation | Birthplace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aaron Roberson | 25 | Head | Stemmer | North Carolina |
| 2 | Maria Roberson | 40 | Wife | Stemmer | North Carolina |
| 3 | Charlie Price | 33 | Head | Bell Boy | North Carolina |
| 4 | Ethel Price | 25 | Wife | — | North Carolina |
| 5 | Charlie May Price | 13 | Daughter | — | North Carolina |
| 6 | Honnie Price | 11 | Son | — | North Carolina |
| 7 | Ernest Price | 6 | Son | — | North Carolina |
| 8 | James R. Price | 1 | Son | — | North Carolina |
| 9 | Julia May Ellis | 21 | Head | Servant | North Carolina |
| 10 | Hattie Bentry | 68 | Grandmother | — | North Carolina |
| 11 | Annie Bailey | 21 | Lodger | Servant | North Carolina |
| 12 | Lillia Bailey | 19 | Lodger | — | North Carolina |
| 13 | Jonas Bailey | 37 | Head | Barber | North Carolina |
| 14 | Estella Bailey | 28 | Wife | — | South Carolina |
| 15 | Elizabeth Bailey THIS PERSON | 16 | Daughter | — | North Carolina |
| 16 | Julius A. Bailey | 14 | Son | — | North Carolina |
| 17 | Edmonta Bailey | 12 | Daughter | — | North Carolina |
| 18 | Lorenza Bailey | 10 | Son | — | North Carolina |
| 19 | Jelena Bailey | 8 | Daughter | — | North Carolina |
| 20 | Christina Bailey | 6 | Daughter | — | North Carolina |
| 21 | Velmon Bailey | 4 | Daughter | — | North Carolina |
| 22 | Mary E. Bailey | 2 | Daughter | — | North Carolina |
| 23 | Allen Hart | 42 | Head | Garbage Collector | South Carolina |
| 24 | Mary Hart | 37 | Wife | Stemmer | South Carolina |
| 25 | Susie Brister | 68 | Mother-in-law | — | South Carolina |
| 26 | John L. Robinson | 51 | Head | Hogger | South Carolina |
| 27 | Bulah Robinson | 38 | Wife | Machine Operator | South Carolina |
| 28 | Bulah Robinson | 17 | Daughter | Laborer | South Carolina |
| 29 | Boyce Robinson | 12 | Son | — | North Carolina |
| 30 | Zelda Tensley | 45 | Head | Laundress | South Carolina |
| 31 | Rev. James Chandler | 61 | Head | Pastor | South Carolina |
| 32 | Clara Chandler | 52 | Wife | — | South Carolina |
| 33 | Vernon Chandler | 12 | Son | — | South Carolina |
| 34 | Shelton Carraway | 28 | Head | (Grocery) Delivery Helper | South Carolina |
| 35 | Rebecca Carraway | 21 | Wife | — | North Carolina |
| 36 | Harold Carraway | 6 | Son | — | North Carolina |
| 37 | Heston Jones | 49 | Head | Laborer | South Carolina |
| 38 | Rosa Jones | 39 | Wife | — | South Carolina |
| 39 | James Jones | 20 | Son | Laborer | South Carolina |
| 40 | Hellison Jones | 7 | Son | — | North Carolina |
About This Record & Model Tree
This record was independently indexed by YourRoots from the 1940 United States Federal Census (NARA). Our Model Tree links this person across census decades using XGBoost-based record linkage, with per-link confidence scores. Household corroboration strengthens the signal when co-residents appear on the same census pages in multiple years.
Source: National Archives and Records Administration (NARA)