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Ellen Kelly — 1940 US Census Record
Linked across censuses1940 United States Federal Census · Saginaw-County, Michigan
Our Model Tree links this Ellen Kelly across the 1930 and 1940 US Censuses in Saginaw-County, Michigan (XGBoost, ~Confirmed) — first a daughter (b.~1924), then head of a 8-person household.
Age 16
b. ~1924
Female
Daughter
Born: Michigan
Single
1940 Census Record Details
| Census Year | 1940 |
| Location | Saginaw-County, Michigan |
| Surname | Kelly |
| Given Name | Ellen |
| Relationship to Head | Daughter |
| Sex | F |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 16 |
| Marital Status | Single |
| Birthplace | Michigan |
| 1935 Residence (City) | Saginaw City |
| 1935 Residence (County) | Saginaw |
| Additional Details | |
| Highest Grade | Hs 2 |
| 1935 Residence | Same place |
| Birth State | Michigan |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | michigan |
| Township / Ward | Saginaw City |
| Est. Birth Year | ~1924 |
Household Members
Census records only state relationship to the household head.
Pairwise kinship is derived (~90–95% accurate), not recorded.
Step/blended families and boarders can break it.
8 people recorded at the same address in the 1940 census.
| Name | Relation to head | Relative to Ellen | Age | Birth yr |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merle Kelly | Spouse | — | 45 | ~1895 |
| Craig Kelly | Son | — | 12 | ~1928 |
| Rose Ross | Other | — | 75 | ~1865 |
| Ellen Kelly | Daughter | — | 16 | ~1924 |
| Edward Kelly | Son | — | 14 | ~1926 |
| Donald Kelly | Son | — | 17 | ~1923 |
| Richard Kelly | Head | — | 44 | ~1896 |
| Evelyn Kelly | Daughter | — | 19 | ~1921 |
Census Appearances
1930
Saginaw, Michigan
Daughter, age 6
Saginaw, Michigan · implied b. ~1924 — 9 household members
●
Primary link
· ~Confirmed · 2 sources
XGBoost
Household
| Surname | Kelley |
| Given Name | Ellen |
| Relationship to Head | Daughter |
| Sex | F |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 6 |
| Marital Status | Single |
| Birthplace | Michigan |
| Father's Birthplace | Michigan |
| Mother's Birthplace | Michigan |
| Birth State | Michigan |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | michigan |
1940
Saginaw-County, Michigan
Daughter, age 16
Saginaw-County, Michigan · implied b. ~1924 — 8 household members
| Surname | Kelly |
| Given Name | Ellen |
| Relationship to Head | Daughter |
| Sex | F |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 16 |
| Marital Status | Single |
| Birthplace | Michigan |
| 1935 Residence (City) | Saginaw City |
| 1935 Residence (County) | Saginaw |
| Highest Grade | Hs 2 |
| 1935 Residence | Same place |
| Birth State | Michigan |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | michigan |
Model Tree
An inferred pedigree reconstructed from census links — up to 4 generations within the 1900–1950 window. Closer generations are built from household co-residence; deeper ones are bridged by following a relative to their own childhood census. Confidence compounds and weakens with each generation.
Our Model Tree links Ellen Kelly across 2 US Census years (1930 and 1940) in 2 locations, using XGBoost record linkage.
Show:
This person
Anchor record
Ellen Kelly
Daughter · 1940 · age 16 · b. ~1924 · Michigan
★ You are viewing this record
Sibling
Edward Kelly
Sibling · 1940 · age 14
Source co-child of head (derived)
● Co-child · derived · ~0.88
Sibling
Donald Kelly
Sibling · 1940 · age 17
Source co-child of head (derived)
● Co-child · derived · ~0.88
Sibling
Evelyn Kelly
Sibling · 1940 · age 19
Source co-child of head (derived)
● Co-child · derived · ~0.88
Sibling
Craig Kelly
Sibling · 1940 · age 12
Source co-child of head (derived)
● Co-child · derived · ~0.88
Confirmed / household (~0.90+)
Probable / derived (~0.65–0.89)
Candidate (<0.65, unverified)
Original Census Page
1940 US Federal Census — Saginaw-County, Michigan
Open full size
1940 US Federal Census — Saginaw-County, Michigan
Page Contents
40 people indexed on this census page (nara:1940:m-t0627-01812-00056)
| Line | Name | Age | Relation | Occupation | Birthplace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | Donald Kelly | 7 | Son | — | Michigan |
| 42 | Barbara Kelly | 5 | Daughter | — | Michigan |
| 43 | Alice Kelly | 3 | Daughter | — | Michigan |
| 44 | Robert Kelly | 1 | Son | — | Michigan |
| 45 | Richard Kelly | 44 | Head | Engineer | Michigan |
| 46 | Merle Kelly | 45 | Wife | — | Michigan |
| 47 | Evelyn Kelly | 19 | Daughter | — | Michigan |
| 48 | Donald Kelly | 17 | Son | — | Michigan |
| 49 | Ellen Kelly THIS PERSON | 16 | Daughter | — | Michigan |
| 50 | Edward Kelly | 14 | Son | — | Michigan |
| 51 | Craig Kelly | 12 | Son | — | Michigan |
| 52 | Rose Ross | 75 | Mother | — | Canada |
| 53 | Elizabeth Hood | 60 | Head | — | Michigan |
| 54 | Lois Hood | 27 | Daughter | — | Michigan |
| 55 | C. C. Thomas | 67 | Lodger | Switchman | Indiana |
| 56 | Alvin Churchill | None | Lodger | — | — |
| 57 | — | None | — | — | — |
| 58 | Bert H. Crowley | 71 | Head | — | Michigan |
| 59 | Helen A. Crowley | 36 | Daughter | Chief Clerk | Michigan |
| 60 | Emmett Maiarty | 38 | Head | Locomotive Fireman | Michigan |
| 61 | Ethel Maiarty | 40 | Wife | — | Ohio |
| 62 | Eileen Maiarty | 10 | Daughter | — | Michigan |
| 63 | Jacqueline Maiarty | 8 | Daughter | — | Michigan |
| 64 | Kathaleen Maiarty | 6 | Daughter | — | Michigan |
| 65 | Larry Maiarty | 3 | Son | — | Michigan |
| 66 | Norman Dower | 31 | Head | — | Michigan |
| 67 | Gertrude Dower | 36 | Wife | — | Michigan |
| 68 | Betty Dower | 12 | Daughter | — | Michigan |
| 69 | Mary Catherine Dower | 7 | Daughter | — | Michigan |
| 70 | Louise Luetjohann | 75 | Head | — | Germany |
| 71 | Hugh Becker | 31 | Head | Oiler | Michigan |
| 72 | Sadie Becker | 29 | Wife | — | Michigan |
| 73 | Helene Becker | 11 | Daughter | — | Michigan |
| 74 | Shirley Becker | 4 | Daughter | — | Michigan |
| 75 | Gary Becker | 1 | Son | — | Michigan |
| 76 | Michael Romanelli | 37 | Head | Laborer | Michigan |
| 77 | Helen Romanelli | 35 | Wife | — | Michigan |
| 78 | Michael J. Romanelli | 12 | Son | — | Michigan |
| 79 | John H. Grutsch | 33 | Head | Fireman | Minnesota |
| 80 | Venoma Grutsch | 30 | Wife | — | Michigan |
About This Record & Model Tree
This record was independently indexed by YourRoots from the 1940 United States Federal Census (NARA). Our Model Tree links this person across census decades using XGBoost-based record linkage, with per-link confidence scores. Household corroboration strengthens the signal when co-residents appear on the same census pages in multiple years.
Source: National Archives and Records Administration (NARA)