EN
Ernest Nelson — 1930 US Census Record
Model Tree available1930 United States Federal Census · Bay, Michigan
Our Model Tree links this Ernest Nelson across the 1910, 1920 and 1930 US Censuses in Bay, Michigan (XGBoost, ~Confirmed), with identified parents Minnie & John — first a head (b.~1898), then head of a 5-person household.
Age 32
b. ~1898
Male
Head
Born: Pennsylvania
Married
1930 Census Record Details
| Census Year | 1930 |
| Location | Bay, Michigan |
| Surname | Nelson |
| Given Name | Ernest W. |
| Relationship to Head | Head |
| Sex | M |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 32 |
| Marital Status | Married |
| Birthplace | Pennsylvania |
| Age at First Marriage | 25 |
| Father's Birthplace | Sweden |
| Mother's Birthplace | Sweden |
| Additional Details | |
| Occupation | Automatic Operator |
| Industry | Automobile works |
| Class of Worker | W |
| Can Read/Write | Yes |
| Home Owned/Rented | O |
| Home Value / Rent | 1500 |
| Birth State | Pennsylvania |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | pennsylvania |
| Occupation | Automatic Operator |
| Township / Ward | Bay City |
| Est. Birth Year | ~1898 |
Household Members
Census records only state relationship to the household head.
Pairwise kinship is derived (~90–95% accurate), not recorded.
Step/blended families and boarders can break it.
5 people recorded at the same address in the 1930 census.
| Name | Relation to head | Relative to Ernest | Age | Birth yr |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blanche Nelson | Other | — | 30 | ~1900 |
| Raymond Nelson | Son | — | 1 | ~1929 |
| Ernest Nelson | Head | — | 32 | ~1898 |
| Arlene Nelson | Daughter | — | 7 | ~1923 |
| Thelma Nelson | Daughter | — | 4 | ~1926 |
Census Appearances
1910
Bay, Michigan
Son, age 13
Bay, Michigan · implied b. ~1897 — 5 household members
●
Primary link
· ~Confirmed · 2 sources
XGBoost
Household
| Surname | Nelson |
| Given Name | Ernest |
| Relationship to Head | Son |
| Sex | M |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 13 |
| Marital Status | Single |
| Birthplace | Pennsylvania |
| Father's Birthplace | Swed-Swedish |
| Mother's Birthplace | Swed-Swedish |
| Occupation | none |
| Birth State | Pennsylvania |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | pennsylvania |
1920
Bay, Michigan
Son, age 22
Bay, Michigan · implied b. ~1898 — 3 household members
●
Primary link
· ~Confirmed · 2 sources
XGBoost
Household
| Surname | Nelson |
| Given Name | Ernest W |
| Relationship to Head | Son |
| Sex | M |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 22 |
| Marital Status | Single |
| Birthplace | Pennsylvania |
| Father's Birthplace | Sweden |
| Mother's Birthplace | Sweden |
| Occupation | Farmer |
| Industry | Home Farm |
| Can Read | Yes |
| Can Write | Yes |
| Speaks English | Yes |
| Birth State | Pennsylvania |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | pennsylvania |
1930
Bay, Michigan
Head, age 32
Bay, Michigan · implied b. ~1898 — 5 household members
| Surname | Nelson |
| Given Name | Ernest W. |
| Relationship to Head | Head |
| Sex | M |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 32 |
| Marital Status | Married |
| Birthplace | Pennsylvania |
| Age at First Marriage | 25 |
| Father's Birthplace | Sweden |
| Mother's Birthplace | Sweden |
| Occupation | Automatic Operator |
| Industry | Automobile works |
| Class of Worker | W |
| Can Read/Write | Yes |
| Home Owned/Rented | O |
| Home Value / Rent | 1500 |
| Birth State | Pennsylvania |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | pennsylvania |
Model Tree
An inferred pedigree reconstructed from census links — up to 4 generations within the 1900–1950 window. Closer generations are built from household co-residence; deeper ones are bridged by following a relative to their own childhood census. Confidence compounds and weakens with each generation.
Our Model Tree links Ernest Nelson across 3 US Census years (1910, 1920 and 1930) in Bay, Michigan, using XGBoost record linkage. Identified parents: mother Minnie Nelson (~0.92 confidence) and father John Nelson (~0.92 confidence) and mother Mamie Nelson (~0.92 confidence) and father John Nelson (~0.92 confidence). The pedigree spans 1 generation with 4 identified ancestors.
Show:
Gen 1
Parents
confidence ≈ 0.92
Mother
Minnie Nelson
b. ~1859
Source mother
● Household
· direct · ~0.92
Father
John Nelson
b. ~1868
Source father
● Household
· direct · ~0.92
Mother
Mamie Nelson
b. ~1868
Source mother
● Household
· direct · ~0.92
Father
John Nelson
b. ~1879
Source father
● Household
· direct · ~0.92
This person
Anchor record
Ernest Nelson
Head · 1930 · age 32 · b. ~1898 · Michigan
★ You are viewing this record
Confirmed / household (~0.90+)
Probable / derived (~0.65–0.89)
Candidate (<0.65, unverified)
Original Census Page
1930 US Federal Census — Bay, Michigan
Open full size
1930 US Federal Census — Bay, Michigan
Page Contents
50 people indexed on this census page (ia:1930:michigancensus00reel975:0393)
| Line | Name | Age | Relation | Occupation | Birthplace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fred Carvey | 18 | Head | Salesman | Michigan |
| 2 | Ethel Carvey | 17 | Daughter | — | Michigan |
| 3 | Mabelle Carvey | 15 | Daughter | — | Michigan |
| 4 | Ralph Irwin | 35 | Roomer | Radiator Repair | Ohio |
| 5 | William H. Ackerman | 26 | Head | Collector | Michigan |
| 6 | Rhea Ackerman | 25 | Wife-H | — | Michigan |
| 7 | Sylvia Ackerman | 5 | Daughter | — | Michigan |
| 8 | William Jr. Ackerman | 1 | Son | — | Michigan |
| 9 | Lawrence Eckinger | 26 | Head | Welder | Michigan |
| 10 | Mary Eckinger | 26 | Wife-H | — | Michigan |
| 11 | Samuel R. Mocker | 50 | Head | Carpenter | Michigan |
| 12 | Edna Mocker | 41 | Wife-H | — | Michigan |
| 13 | James Mocker | 15 | Son | — | Michigan |
| 14 | Mildred Mocker | 11 | Daughter | — | Michigan |
| 15 | William O. Mocker | 5 | Son | — | Michigan |
| 16 | Napoleon Tardiff | 75 | Head | Proprietor | Canada-French |
| 17 | Oscar Thorsby | 22 | Head | Assistant Manager | Michigan |
| 18 | Marion Thorsby | 21 | Wife-H | — | Michigan |
| 19 | Helen Thorsby | 19 | Sister | Order Clerk | Michigan |
| 20 | Ernest W. Nelson THIS PERSON | 32 | Head | Automatic Operator | Pennsylvania |
| 21 | Blanche Nelson | 30 | Wife-H | — | Michigan |
| 22 | Arlene A. Nelson | 7 | Daughter | — | Michigan |
| 23 | Thelma G. Nelson | 4 | Daughter | — | Michigan |
| 24 | Raymond E. Nelson | 1 | Son | — | Michigan |
| 25 | Alfred Ebelt | 26 | Head | Inspector | Michigan |
| 26 | Mabelle Ebelt | 25 | Wife-H | — | Michigan |
| 27 | Alice M. Ebelt | 4 | Daughter | — | Michigan |
| 28 | Allen A. Ebelt | 3 | Son | — | Michigan |
| 29 | Edward Winquest | 23 | Brother-in-law | Automatic Operator | Michigan |
| 30 | Pearl Winquest | 23 | Sister-in-law | — | Michigan |
| 31 | Charlotte P. Winquest | 1 | Niece | — | Michigan |
| 32 | Thomas Ray | 27 | Head | Laborer | Canada-English |
| 33 | Virginia Ray | 18 | Wife-H | — | Minnesota |
| 34 | Dorothy G. Ray | 0 | Daughter | — | Michigan |
| 35 | Dalby Reynolds | 22 | Head | Saleslady | Michigan |
| 36 | Sarah Reynolds | 67 | Mother | — | Canada-English |
| 37 | Dennis J. Reynolds | 17 | Nephew | Pipe Fitter | Michigan |
| 38 | Ross Reynolds | 25 | Head | Laborer | Michigan |
| 39 | Beatrice Reynolds | 22 | Wife-H | — | Michigan |
| 40 | Roswell L. Reynolds | 3 | Son | — | Michigan |
| 41 | Ramona Reynolds | 1 | Daughter | — | Michigan |
| 42 | Nelson G. St. Peter | 53 | Head | Brakeman | Michigan |
| 43 | Rose St. Peter | 48 | Wife-H | — | Michigan |
| 44 | Gregory St. Peter | 17 | Son | Upholsterer | Michigan |
| 45 | Virginia St. Peter | 14 | Daughter | — | Michigan |
| 46 | Dolores St. Peter | 9 | Daughter | — | Michigan |
| 47 | Temple Newcombe | 34 | Head | Painter | Michigan |
| 48 | Nettie Newcombe | 30 | Wife-H | — | Michigan |
| 49 | Devere Newcombe | 10 | Son | — | Michigan |
| 50 | Cora Woods | 59 | Head | — | Michigan |
Pedigree Summary
Ernest
Gen 1 · 4 parents
~0.92
Max depth 4 (1900–1950 window)
About This Record & Model Tree
This record was independently indexed by YourRoots from the 1930 United States Federal Census (NARA). Our Model Tree links this person across census decades using XGBoost-based record linkage, with per-link confidence scores. Household corroboration strengthens the signal when co-residents appear on the same census pages in multiple years.
Source: National Archives and Records Administration (NARA)