FK
Francis Kelly — 1940 US Census Record
Model Tree available1940 United States Federal Census · Erie-County, New York
Our Model Tree links this Francis Kelly across the 1920, 1930 and 1940 US Censuses in Erie-County, New York (XGBoost, ~Confirmed), with identified parents Francis & Francis — first a head (b.~1916), then head of a 3-person household.
Age 24
b. ~1916
Male
Head
Born: New York
Married
1940 Census Record Details
| Census Year | 1940 |
| Location | Erie-County, New York |
| Surname | Kelly |
| Given Name | Francis L. |
| Relationship to Head | Head |
| Sex | M |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 24 |
| Marital Status | Married |
| Birthplace | New York |
| 1935 Residence (City) | Buffalo City |
| 1935 Residence (County) | Erie |
| Additional Details | |
| Occupation | machinist |
| Industry | automobile |
| Class of Worker | PW |
| Hours Worked | 40 |
| Income (1939) | 375 |
| Highest Grade | Hs 3 |
| 1935 Residence | Same place |
| Birth State | New York |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | new york |
| Occupation | Machinist |
| Township / Ward | Buffalo City |
| Est. Birth Year | ~1916 |
Household Members
Census records only state relationship to the household head.
Pairwise kinship is derived (~90–95% accurate), not recorded.
Step/blended families and boarders can break it.
3 people recorded at the same address in the 1940 census.
| Name | Relation to head | Relative to Francis | Age | Birth yr |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Kelly | Son | — | 4 | ~1936 |
| Francis Kelly | Head | — | 24 | ~1916 |
| Irene Kelly | Spouse | — | 23 | ~1917 |
Census Appearances
1920
Erie, New …
Son, age 4
Erie, New York · implied b. ~1916 — 7 household members
●
Primary link
· ~Confirmed · 2 sources
XGBoost
Household
| Surname | Kelly |
| Given Name | Francis J |
| Relationship to Head | Son |
| Sex | M |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 4 |
| Marital Status | Single |
| Birthplace | New York |
| Father's Birthplace | New York |
| Mother's Birthplace | New York |
| Birth State | New York |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | new york |
1930
Erie, New …
Son, age 14
Erie, New York · implied b. ~1916 — 4 household members
●
Primary link
· ~Confirmed · 2 sources
XGBoost
Household
| Surname | Kelly |
| Given Name | Francis J |
| Relationship to Head | Son |
| Sex | M |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 14 |
| Marital Status | Single |
| Birthplace | New York |
| Father's Birthplace | New York |
| Mother's Birthplace | New York |
| Can Read/Write | Yes |
| Birth State | New York |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | new york |
1940
Erie-County, New …
Head, age 24
Erie-County, New York · implied b. ~1916 — 3 household members
| Surname | Kelly |
| Given Name | Francis L. |
| Relationship to Head | Head |
| Sex | M |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 24 |
| Marital Status | Married |
| Birthplace | New York |
| 1935 Residence (City) | Buffalo City |
| 1935 Residence (County) | Erie |
| Occupation | machinist |
| Industry | automobile |
| Class of Worker | PW |
| Hours Worked | 40 |
| Income (1939) | 375 |
| Highest Grade | Hs 3 |
| 1935 Residence | Same place |
| Birth State | New York |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | new york |
Model Tree
An inferred pedigree reconstructed from census links — up to 4 generations within the 1900–1950 window. Closer generations are built from household co-residence; deeper ones are bridged by following a relative to their own childhood census. Confidence compounds and weakens with each generation.
Our Model Tree links Francis Kelly across 3 US Census years (1920, 1930 and 1940) in 2 locations, using XGBoost record linkage. Identified parents: father Francis Kelly (~0.92 confidence) and father Francis Kelly (~0.92 confidence) and mother Helen Kelly (~0.92 confidence) and mother Helen Kelly (~0.92 confidence) and mother Regina Fitzsimmons (~0.92 confidence). The pedigree spans 1 generation with 5 identified ancestors.
Show:
Gen 1
Parents
confidence ≈ 0.92
Father
Francis Kelly
b. ~1887
Source father
● Household
· direct · ~0.92
Father
Francis Kelly
b. ~1887
Source father
● Household
· direct · ~0.92
Mother
Helen Kelly
b. ~1893
Source mother
● Household
· direct · ~0.92
Mother
Helen Kelly
b. ~1894
Source mother
● Household
· direct · ~0.92
Mother
Regina Fitzsimmons
b. ~1898
Source mother
● Household
· direct · ~0.92
This person
Anchor record
Francis Kelly
Head · 1940 · age 24 · b. ~1916 · New York
★ You are viewing this record
Confirmed / household (~0.90+)
Probable / derived (~0.65–0.89)
Candidate (<0.65, unverified)
Original Census Page
1940 US Federal Census — Erie-County, New York
Open full size
1940 US Federal Census — Erie-County, New York
Page Contents
40 people indexed on this census page (nara:1940:m-t0627-02834-00379)
| Line | Name | Age | Relation | Occupation | Birthplace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | Frank Titovick | 28 | Head | Truck Driver | New York |
| 42 | Stella Titovick | 28 | Wife | — | Pennsylvania |
| 43 | Catherine J. Titovick | 7 | Daughter | — | New York |
| 44 | Nicholas A. Titovick | 4 | Son | — | New York |
| 45 | William J. Buckley | 47 | Head | Clerk | New York |
| 46 | Ann M. Buckley | 37 | Wife | — | Northern Ireland |
| 47 | Robert D. Buckley | 9 | Son | — | New York |
| 48 | John W. Buckley | 8 | Son | — | New York |
| 49 | Maureen Buckley | 5 | Daughter | — | New York |
| 50 | James C. Barry | 33 | Head | Clerk | New York |
| 51 | Gertrude H. Barry | 31 | Wife | — | New York |
| 52 | James F. Barry | 7 | Son | — | New York |
| 53 | Gerald F. Barry | 6 | Son | — | New York |
| 54 | C. Beverly Barry | 5 | Daughter | — | New York |
| 55 | J. Kevin Barry | 3 | Son | — | New York |
| 56 | Sanford C. Barry | 0 | Son | — | New York |
| 57 | John J. Barry | 31 | Brother | Asst Clerk | New York |
| 58 | William @ Wallace | 50 | Head | Machinist | Minnesota |
| 59 | Frances A. Wallace | 45 | Wife | — | New York |
| 60 | Richard W. Pepin | 8 | Grandson | — | New York |
| 61 | Stewart R. Curtis | 37 | Head | Salesman | Illinois |
| 62 | Esther Curtis | 47 | Wife | — | New York |
| 63 | Sylvia Curtis | 6 | Daughter | — | New York |
| 64 | John F. Burkard | 33 | Head | Amusements | New York |
| 65 | Viola C. Burkard | 33 | Wife | — | New York |
| 66 | Norma J. Burkard | 12 | Daughter | — | New York |
| 67 | Dolores M. Burkard | 11 | Daughter | — | New York |
| 68 | Arthur C. Nogle | 55 | Head | Executive | New York |
| 69 | Regina F. Linnville | 36 | Lodger | Dressmaker | New York |
| 70 | Wilbur Linnville | 15 | Son | Sign Painting Apprentice | New York |
| 71 | Francis L. Kelly THIS PERSON | 24 | Head | Machinist | New York |
| 72 | Irene Kelly | 23 | Wife | — | New York |
| 73 | Robert J. Kelly | 4 | Son | — | New York |
| 74 | Clifford H. Dehn | 25 | Head | Manager | New York |
| 75 | Alice J. Dehn | 23 | Wife | — | New York |
| 76 | Samuel J. Meyer | 51 | Head | Collector | New York |
| 77 | Amelia Meyer | 42 | Wife | Cashier | New York |
| 78 | John P. Milluski | 32 | Head | Chauffeur | New York |
| 79 | Helen Milluski | 30 | Wife | — | New York |
| 80 | Ruth C. Weisbecker | 33 | Head | Telephone Operator | New York |
Pedigree Summary
Francis
Gen 1 · 5 parents
~0.92
Max depth 4 (1900–1950 window)
About This Record & Model Tree
This record was independently indexed by YourRoots from the 1940 United States Federal Census (NARA). Our Model Tree links this person across census decades using XGBoost-based record linkage, with per-link confidence scores. Household corroboration strengthens the signal when co-residents appear on the same census pages in multiple years.
Source: National Archives and Records Administration (NARA)