JA
John Arnold — 1940 US Census Record
Linked across censuses1940 United States Federal Census · Bay-County, Michigan
Our Model Tree links this John Arnold across the 1920, 1930 and 1940 US Censuses in Bay-County, Michigan (XGBoost, ~Confirmed) — first a head (b.~1882), then head of a 4-person household.
Age 58
b. ~1882
Male
Head
Born: Michigan
Married
1940 Census Record Details
| Census Year | 1940 |
| Location | Bay-County, Michigan |
| Surname | Arnold |
| Given Name | John G. |
| Relationship to Head | Head |
| Sex | M |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 58 |
| Marital Status | Married |
| Birthplace | Michigan |
| 1935 Residence (City) | Frankenlust Twp |
| 1935 Residence (County) | Bay |
| Additional Details | |
| Occupation | Farmer |
| Industry | Farm |
| Class of Worker | OA |
| Hours Worked | 60 |
| Highest Grade | G-8 |
| 1935 Residence | Same place |
| Birth State | Michigan |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | michigan |
| Occupation | Farmer |
| Township / Ward | Frankenlust Twp |
| Est. Birth Year | ~1882 |
Household Members
Census records only state relationship to the household head.
Pairwise kinship is derived (~90–95% accurate), not recorded.
Step/blended families and boarders can break it.
4 people recorded at the same address in the 1940 census.
| Name | Relation to head | Relative to John | Age | Birth yr |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Arnold | Head | — | 58 | ~1882 |
| Otto Arnold | Son | — | 18 | ~1922 |
| Walter Arnold | Son | — | 25 | ~1915 |
| Christine Arnold | Spouse | — | 57 | ~1883 |
Census Appearances
1920
Bay, Michigan
Head, age 35
Bay, Michigan · implied b. ~1885 — 3 household members
●
Primary link
· ~Confirmed · 2 sources
XGBoost
Household
| Surname | Arnold |
| Given Name | John L. |
| Relationship to Head | Head |
| Sex | M |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 35 |
| Marital Status | Married |
| Birthplace | Michigan |
| Father's Birthplace | Michigan |
| Mother's Birthplace | Michigan |
| Occupation | farmer |
| Industry | General farm |
| Class of Worker | O |
| Can Read | Yes |
| Can Write | Yes |
| Speaks English | Yes |
| Home Owned/Rented | R |
| Birth State | Michigan |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | michigan |
1930
Bay, Michigan
Head, age 47
Bay, Michigan · implied b. ~1883 — 8 household members
●
Primary link
· ~Confirmed · 2 sources
XGBoost
Household
| Surname | Arnold |
| Given Name | John M. C. |
| Relationship to Head | Head |
| Sex | M |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 47 |
| Marital Status | Married |
| Birthplace | Michigan |
| Age at First Marriage | 25 |
| Father's Birthplace | Michigan |
| Mother's Birthplace | Michigan |
| Occupation | Farmer |
| Industry | Farm |
| Class of Worker | VVVV |
| Can Read/Write | Yes |
| Home Owned/Rented | O |
| Home Value / Rent | $2000 |
| Birth State | Michigan |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | michigan |
1940
Bay-County, Michigan
Head, age 58
Bay-County, Michigan · implied b. ~1882 — 4 household members
| Surname | Arnold |
| Given Name | John G. |
| Relationship to Head | Head |
| Sex | M |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 58 |
| Marital Status | Married |
| Birthplace | Michigan |
| 1935 Residence (City) | Frankenlust Twp |
| 1935 Residence (County) | Bay |
| Occupation | Farmer |
| Industry | Farm |
| Class of Worker | OA |
| Hours Worked | 60 |
| Highest Grade | G-8 |
| 1935 Residence | Same place |
| Birth State | Michigan |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | michigan |
Model Tree
An inferred pedigree reconstructed from census links — up to 4 generations within the 1900–1950 window. Closer generations are built from household co-residence; deeper ones are bridged by following a relative to their own childhood census. Confidence compounds and weakens with each generation.
Our Model Tree links John Arnold across 3 US Census years (1920, 1930 and 1940) in 2 locations, using XGBoost record linkage.
Show:
This person
Anchor record
John Arnold
Head · 1940 · age 58 · b. ~1882 · Michigan
★ You are viewing this record
Confirmed / household (~0.90+)
Probable / derived (~0.65–0.89)
Candidate (<0.65, unverified)
Original Census Page
1940 US Federal Census — Bay-County, Michigan
Open full size
1940 US Federal Census — Bay-County, Michigan
Page Contents
40 people indexed on this census page (nara:1940:m-t0627-01729-00114)
| Line | Name | Age | Relation | Occupation | Birthplace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alma Thomas | 40 | Wife | — | Michigan |
| 2 | Ray O Thomas | 50 | Head | Farmer | Ohio |
| 3 | Elizabeth Thomas | 43 | Wife | — | Michigan |
| 4 | Alice Thomas | 15 | Daughter | — | Michigan |
| 5 | Robert Gaiser | 34 | Head | Bricklayer | Germany |
| 6 | Lillian Gaiser | 24 | Wife | — | Michigan |
| 7 | Robert Gaiser | 2 | Son | — | Michigan |
| 8 | Ernest Gaiser | 3 | Son | — | Michigan |
| 9 | Richard Gaiser | 1 | Son | — | Michigan |
| 10 | Jack Oswald | 16 | Boarder | Farmer | Michigan |
| 11 | Sam R. Mosher | 59 | Boarder | Carpenter | Michigan |
| 12 | Adam Oswald | 44 | Head | Farmer | Michigan |
| 13 | Alma O Oswald | 38 | Wife | Farmer | Michigan |
| 14 | Erwin Oswald | 17 | Son | Farmer | Michigan |
| 15 | Marwood Oswald | 15 | Son | Farmer | Michigan |
| 16 | Dolores Oswald | 10 | Daughter | — | Michigan |
| 17 | Hilda Kleinert | 57 | Head | Farmer | Michigan |
| 18 | Ray Kleinert | 19 | Son | Farmer | Michigan |
| 19 | Clarence Schindler | 31 | Son-in-law | Trucking | Michigan |
| 20 | Laura Schindler | 30 | Daughter | Farmer | Michigan |
| 21 | Nelson Schindler | 2 | Grandson | — | Michigan |
| 22 | William Behmloeder | 45 | Head | Farmer | Michigan |
| 23 | Alvin Behmloeder | 17 | Son | Farmer | Michigan |
| 24 | Hulda S. Baker | 72 | Head | — | Michigan |
| 25 | Emma Robinson | 63 | Housekeeper | Housekeeper | England |
| 26 | John M. Vogtmann | 50 | Head | Farmer | Michigan |
| 27 | Mary Vogtmann | 53 | Wife | Farmer | Michigan |
| 28 | Arnold Vogtmann | 19 | Son | Farmer | Michigan |
| 29 | Ruth Vogtmann | 11 | Daughter | — | Michigan |
| 30 | John G. Arnold THIS PERSON | 58 | Head | Farmer | Michigan |
| 31 | Christine Arnold | 57 | Wife | Farmer | Michigan |
| 32 | Walter Arnold | 25 | Son | Farmer | Michigan |
| 33 | Otto M. Arnold | 18 | Son | Farm Helper | Michigan |
| 34 | John F. Telfer | 68 | Head | Block Laying | Michigan |
| 35 | Ernest Kuebitz | 37 | Head | Trucking | Michigan |
| 36 | Pearl Kuebitz | 40 | Wife | — | Michigan |
| 37 | Walter Heinlein | 34 | Head | Truck Farming | Michigan |
| 38 | Erna D. Heinlein | 26 | Wife | — | Michigan |
| 39 | Ruth Ann Heinlein | 3 | Daughter | — | Michigan |
| 40 | Christ Jr. Appold | 37 | Head | Farmer | Michigan |
About This Record & Model Tree
This record was independently indexed by YourRoots from the 1940 United States Federal Census (NARA). Our Model Tree links this person across census decades using XGBoost-based record linkage, with per-link confidence scores. Household corroboration strengthens the signal when co-residents appear on the same census pages in multiple years.
Source: National Archives and Records Administration (NARA)