MW
Margaret Welch — 1940 US Census Record
Model Tree available1940 United States Federal Census · Saginaw-County, Michigan
Our Model Tree links this Margaret Welch across the 1920, 1930 and 1940 US Censuses in Saginaw-County, Michigan (XGBoost, ~Confirmed), with identified parents John & William — first a daughter (b.~1914), then head of a 3-person household.
Age 26
b. ~1914
Female
Daughter
Born: Michigan
Single
1940 Census Record Details
| Census Year | 1940 |
| Location | Saginaw-County, Michigan |
| Surname | Welch |
| Given Name | Margaret G. |
| Relationship to Head | Daughter |
| Sex | F |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 26 |
| Marital Status | Single |
| Birthplace | Michigan |
| 1935 Residence (City) | Saginaw City |
| 1935 Residence (County) | Saginaw |
| Additional Details | |
| Occupation | Clerk |
| Industry | Retail Clothing Store |
| Class of Worker | PW |
| Hours Worked | 48 |
| Income (1939) | 875 |
| Highest Grade | No 8 |
| 1935 Residence | Same Place |
| Birth State | Michigan |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | michigan |
| Occupation | Clerk |
| Township / Ward | Saginaw City |
| Est. Birth Year | ~1914 |
Household Members
Census records only state relationship to the household head.
Pairwise kinship is derived (~90–95% accurate), not recorded.
Step/blended families and boarders can break it.
3 people recorded at the same address in the 1940 census.
| Name | Relation to head | Relative to Margaret | Age | Birth yr |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margaret Welch | Daughter | — | 26 | ~1914 |
| Julia Miller | Head | — | 75 | ~1865 |
| Nora Cody | Other | — | 37 | ~1903 |
Census Appearances
1920
Saginaw, Michigan
Daughter, age 7
Saginaw, Michigan · implied b. ~1913 — 4 household members
●
Primary link
· ~Confirmed · 2 sources
XGBoost
Household
| Surname | Welch |
| Given Name | Margaret |
| Relationship to Head | Daughter |
| Sex | F |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 7 |
| Marital Status | Single |
| Birthplace | Michigan |
| Father's Birthplace | Michigan |
| Mother's Birthplace | Michigan |
| Occupation | none |
| Birth State | Michigan |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | michigan |
1930
Saginaw, Michigan
Daughter, age 17
Saginaw, Michigan · implied b. ~1913 — 5 household members
●
Primary link
· ~Confirmed · 2 sources
XGBoost
Household
| Surname | Welch |
| Given Name | Margaret |
| Relationship to Head | Daughter |
| Sex | F |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 17 |
| Marital Status | Single |
| Birthplace | Michigan |
| Father's Birthplace | Michigan |
| Mother's Birthplace | Michigan |
| Can Read/Write | Yes |
| Birth State | Michigan |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | michigan |
1940
Saginaw-County, Michigan
Daughter, age 26
Saginaw-County, Michigan · implied b. ~1914 — 3 household members
| Surname | Welch |
| Given Name | Margaret G. |
| Relationship to Head | Daughter |
| Sex | F |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 26 |
| Marital Status | Single |
| Birthplace | Michigan |
| 1935 Residence (City) | Saginaw City |
| 1935 Residence (County) | Saginaw |
| Occupation | Clerk |
| Industry | Retail Clothing Store |
| Class of Worker | PW |
| Hours Worked | 48 |
| Income (1939) | 875 |
| Highest Grade | No 8 |
| 1935 Residence | Same Place |
| Birth State | Michigan |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | michigan |
Model Tree
An inferred pedigree reconstructed from census links — up to 4 generations within the 1900–1950 window. Closer generations are built from household co-residence; deeper ones are bridged by following a relative to their own childhood census. Confidence compounds and weakens with each generation.
Our Model Tree links Margaret Welch across 3 US Census years (1920, 1930 and 1940) in 2 locations, using XGBoost record linkage. Identified parents: father John Welch (~0.92 confidence) and father William Welch (~0.92 confidence) and mother Julia Miller (~0.92 confidence) and mother Lillian Welch (~0.92 confidence). The pedigree spans 1 generation with 4 identified ancestors.
Show:
Gen 1
Parents
confidence ≈ 0.92
Father
John Welch
b. ~1887
Source father
● Household
· direct · ~0.92
Father
William Welch
b. ~1888
Source father
● Household
· direct · ~0.92
Mother
Julia Miller
b. ~1865
Source mother
● Household
· direct · ~0.92
Mother
Lillian Welch
b. ~1888
Source mother
● Household
· direct · ~0.92
This person
Anchor record
Margaret Welch
Daughter · 1940 · age 26 · b. ~1914 · Michigan
★ You are viewing this record
Confirmed / household (~0.90+)
Probable / derived (~0.65–0.89)
Candidate (<0.65, unverified)
Original Census Page
1940 US Federal Census — Saginaw-County, Michigan
Open full size
1940 US Federal Census — Saginaw-County, Michigan
Page Contents
39 people indexed on this census page (nara:1940:m-t0627-01813-00027)
| Line | Name | Age | Relation | Occupation | Birthplace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | Frederick Furstenberg | 72 | Head | — | Germany |
| 42 | Gordon Hust | 43 | Head | Truck Driver | Canada |
| 43 | Irene Hust | 42 | Wife | — | Michigan |
| 44 | Emily Hust | 17 | Daughter | — | Michigan |
| 45 | Gordon H. Hust | 15 | Son | — | Michigan |
| 46 | Ernest C. Pollmann | 59 | Head | Laborer | Germany |
| 47 | Wilhelmina Pollmann | 59 | Wife | — | Michigan |
| 48 | Leona Pollmann | 25 | Daughter | Seamstress | Michigan |
| 49 | Ernest Jr. Pollmann | 22 | Son | Machinist | Michigan |
| 51 | Charles Marks | 38 | Head | Foreman Machine Shop | Michigan |
| 52 | Charles Jr. Marks | 15 | Son | — | Michigan |
| 53 | Jeanette K. Marks | 5 | Daughter | — | Michigan |
| 54 | Gerald Marks | 3 | Son | — | Michigan |
| 55 | Robert Billings | 12 | Step-son | — | Michigan |
| 56 | Kona Lebeard | 17 | Servant | Housework | Michigan |
| 57 | Carl Wilhelm | 47 | Head | Shipping Clerk | Michigan |
| 58 | Eva Wilhelm | 46 | Wife | — | Michigan |
| 59 | Raymond Wilhelm | 18 | Son | — | Michigan |
| 60 | Evelyn Ward | 78 | Mother-in-law | — | New York |
| 61 | Eugene Kraiser | 53 | Head | Machine Operator | Michigan |
| 62 | Jettie Kraiser | 52 | Wife | — | Michigan |
| 63 | Anna Maxwell | 51 | Head | Coremaker | Michigan |
| 64 | Ray Maxwell | 17 | Son | — | Michigan |
| 65 | Myra Maxwell | 16 | Son | — | Michigan |
| 66 | Ed Maxwell | 12 | Daughter | — | Michigan |
| 67 | Margaret Maxwell | 10 | Daughter | — | Michigan |
| 68 | Eva Loomis | 78 | Mother | — | New York |
| 69 | Albert E. Holly | 73 | Head | — | Michigan |
| 70 | Minnie Holly | 68 | Wife | — | Michigan |
| 71 | Edward Flore | 25 | Head | Manager | Michigan |
| 72 | Dorothy Flore | 24 | Wife | — | Michigan |
| 73 | Beverly Flore | 1 | Daughter | — | Michigan |
| 74 | Julia A. Miller | 75 | Head | — | Illinois |
| 75 | Margaret G. Welch THIS PERSON | 26 | Daughter | Clerk | Michigan |
| 76 | Nora Cody | 37 | Boarder | Clerk | Michigan |
| 77 | Walter S. Webber | 50 | Head | Oil Broker | Michigan |
| 78 | Elsie R. Webber | 51 | Wife | — | Michigan |
| 79 | Robert Webber | 19 | Son | Machine Operator | Michigan |
| 80 | Daughter Margaret | None | F | — | — |
Pedigree Summary
Margaret
Gen 1 · 4 parents
~0.92
Max depth 4 (1900–1950 window)
About This Record & Model Tree
This record was independently indexed by YourRoots from the 1940 United States Federal Census (NARA). Our Model Tree links this person across census decades using XGBoost-based record linkage, with per-link confidence scores. Household corroboration strengthens the signal when co-residents appear on the same census pages in multiple years.
Source: National Archives and Records Administration (NARA)