ML
Mary Lawrence — 1930 US Census Record
Linked across censuses1930 United States Federal Census · Clay, Arkansas
Our Model Tree links this Mary Lawrence across the 1930 and 1940 US Censuses in Clay, Arkansas (XGBoost, ~Confirmed) — first a daughter (b.~1927), then head of a 14-person household.
Age 3
b. ~1927
Female
Daughter
Born: Arkansas
Single
1930 Census Record Details
| Census Year | 1930 |
| Location | Clay, Arkansas |
| Surname | Lawrence |
| Given Name | Mary |
| Relationship to Head | Daughter |
| Sex | F |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 3 |
| Marital Status | Single |
| Birthplace | Arkansas |
| Father's Birthplace | Arkansas |
| Mother's Birthplace | Arkansas |
| Additional Details | |
| Birth State | Arkansas |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | arkansas |
| Township / Ward | Blue Cane |
| Est. Birth Year | ~1927 |
Household Members
Census records only state relationship to the household head.
Pairwise kinship is derived (~90–95% accurate), not recorded.
Step/blended families and boarders can break it.
14 people recorded at the same address in the 1930 census.
| Name | Relation to head | Relative to Mary | Age | Birth yr |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lola Lawrence | Daughter | — | 15 | ~1915 |
| Queen Lawrence | Daughter | — | 11 | ~1919 |
| Mary Lawrence | Daughter | — | 3 | ~1927 |
| Willie Lawrence | Head | — | 54 | ~1876 |
| Curtis Lawrence | Son | — | 22 | ~1908 |
| L Lawrence | Son | — | 7 | ~1923 |
| Lester Lawrence | Son | — | 17 | ~1913 |
| Ernest Lawrence | Son | — | 18 | ~1912 |
| Willie Lawrence | Son | — | 17 | ~1913 |
| L Lawrence | Son | — | 4 | ~1926 |
| L Lawrence | Son | — | 6 | ~1924 |
| L Lawrence | Son | — | 1 | ~1929 |
| William Lawrence | Son | — | 4 | ~1926 |
| Cora Lawrence | Spouse | — | 53 | ~1877 |
Census Appearances
1930
Clay, Arkansas
Daughter, age 3
Clay, Arkansas · implied b. ~1927 — 14 household members
| Surname | Lawrence |
| Given Name | Mary |
| Relationship to Head | Daughter |
| Sex | F |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 3 |
| Marital Status | Single |
| Birthplace | Arkansas |
| Father's Birthplace | Arkansas |
| Mother's Birthplace | Arkansas |
| Birth State | Arkansas |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | arkansas |
1940
Clay-County, Arkansas
Daughter, age 12
Clay-County, Arkansas · implied b. ~1928 — 5 household members
●
Primary link
· ~Confirmed · 2 sources
XGBoost
Household
| Surname | Lawrence |
| Given Name | Maurice D. |
| Relationship to Head | Daughter |
| Sex | F |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 12 |
| Marital Status | Single |
| Birthplace | Arkansas |
| 1935 Residence (City) | Layne Twp |
| 1935 Residence (County) | Clay |
| Highest Grade | 4 |
| 1935 Residence | Same place |
| Birth State | Arkansas |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | arkansas |
Model Tree
An inferred pedigree reconstructed from census links — up to 4 generations within the 1900–1950 window. Closer generations are built from household co-residence; deeper ones are bridged by following a relative to their own childhood census. Confidence compounds and weakens with each generation.
Our Model Tree links Mary Lawrence across 2 US Census years (1930 and 1940) in 2 locations, using XGBoost record linkage.
Show:
This person
Anchor record
Mary Lawrence
Daughter · 1930 · age 3 · b. ~1927 · Arkansas
★ You are viewing this record
Sibling
Queen Lawrence
Sibling · 1930 · age 11
Source co-child of head (derived)
● Co-child · derived · ~0.88
Sibling
L Lawrence
Sibling · 1930 · age 1
Source co-child of head (derived)
● Co-child · derived · ~0.88
Sibling
Lola Lawrence
Sibling · 1930 · age 15
Source co-child of head (derived)
● Co-child · derived · ~0.88
Sibling
Willie Lawrence
Sibling · 1930 · age 17
Source co-child of head (derived)
● Co-child · derived · ~0.88
Sibling
L Lawrence
Sibling · 1930 · age 4
Source co-child of head (derived)
● Co-child · derived · ~0.88
Sibling
Ernest Lawrence
Sibling · 1930 · age 18
Source co-child of head (derived)
● Co-child · derived · ~0.88
Sibling
William Lawrence
Sibling · 1930 · age 4
Source co-child of head (derived)
● Co-child · derived · ~0.88
Sibling
L Lawrence
Sibling · 1930 · age 7
Source co-child of head (derived)
● Co-child · derived · ~0.88
Sibling
Lester Lawrence
Sibling · 1930 · age 17
Source co-child of head (derived)
● Co-child · derived · ~0.88
Sibling
L Lawrence
Sibling · 1930 · age 6
Source co-child of head (derived)
● Co-child · derived · ~0.88
Sibling
Curtis Lawrence
Sibling · 1930 · age 22
Source co-child of head (derived)
● Co-child · derived · ~0.88
Confirmed / household (~0.90+)
Probable / derived (~0.65–0.89)
Candidate (<0.65, unverified)
Original Census Page
1930 US Federal Census — Clay, Arkansas
Open full size
1930 US Federal Census — Clay, Arkansas
Page Contents
50 people indexed on this census page (ia:1930:15thcensus68usce:0049)
| Line | Name | Age | Relation | Occupation | Birthplace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ray | 8 | Son | — | Arkansas |
| 2 | Bernice | 5 | Daughter | — | Arkansas |
| 3 | James Jones | 41 | Head | Farmer | Indiana |
| 4 | Lula V. Jones | 36 | Wife | — | Kentucky |
| 5 | Lula M. Jones | 15 | Daughter | — | Arkansas |
| 6 | James Jones | 13 | Son | — | Arkansas |
| 7 | Cleo Jones | 11 | Daughter | — | Arkansas |
| 8 | Mildred Jones | 9 | Daughter | — | Arkansas |
| 9 | Charles Jones | 5 | Son | — | Arkansas |
| 10 | Will L. Edgar | 43 | Head | Farmer | U.S. |
| 11 | Minnie H. Edgar | 39 | Wife | — | Illinois |
| 12 | Clyde Edgar | 14 | Son | — | Missouri |
| 13 | Willie W. Lawrence | 54 | Head | Farmer | Tennessee |
| 14 | Cora H. Lawrence | 53 | Wife | — | Tennessee |
| 15 | Curtis Lawrence | 22 | Son | — | Arkansas |
| 16 | Ernest Lawrence | 18 | Son | — | Arkansas |
| 17 | Lester Lawrence | 17 | Son | — | Arkansas |
| 18 | Lola Lawrence | 15 | Daughter | — | Arkansas |
| 19 | Queen Lawrence | 11 | Daughter | — | Arkansas |
| 20 | L. J. Lawrence | 7 | Son | — | Arkansas |
| 21 | L. C. Lawrence | 4 | Son | — | Arkansas |
| 22 | Willie Lawrence | 17 | Son | — | Arkansas |
| 23 | L. B. Lawrence | 1 | Son | — | Arkansas |
| 24 | L. W. Lawrence | 6 | Son | — | Arkansas |
| 25 | William Lawrence | 4 | Son | — | Arkansas |
| 26 | Mary Lawrence THIS PERSON | 3 | Daughter | — | Arkansas |
| 27 | Henry D. Hale | 42 | Head | Farmer | Tennessee |
| 28 | Lula Hale | 41 | Wife | — | Tennessee |
| 29 | Arlie Hale | 13 | Daughter | — | Arkansas |
| 30 | Lois Hale | 11 | Daughter | — | Arkansas |
| 31 | Minnie Hale | 10 | Daughter | — | Arkansas |
| 32 | L. D. Hale | 8 | Son | — | Arkansas |
| 33 | L. C. Hale | 4 | Son | — | Arkansas |
| 34 | L. B. Hale | 1 | Son | — | Arkansas |
| 35 | Bernie Simmons | 25 | Daughter | — | Arkansas |
| 36 | L. C. Simmons | 3 | Son | — | Arkansas |
| 37 | William Norman | 38 | Head | Farmer | Arkansas |
| 38 | Lula H. Norman | 32 | Wife | — | Arkansas |
| 39 | L. J. Norman | 8 | Son | — | Arkansas |
| 40 | L. C. Norman | 3 | Son | — | Arkansas |
| 41 | L. B. Norman | 1 | Son | — | Arkansas |
| 42 | L. W. Norman | 0 | Son | — | Arkansas |
| 43 | Frank Barker | 35 | Head | Farmer | Arkansas |
| 44 | Carrie H. Barker | 33 | Wife | — | Missouri |
| 45 | Louise Barker | 9 | Daughter | — | Arkansas |
| 46 | William Hill | 55 | Head | Farmer | Arkansas |
| 47 | Minnie H. Hill | 43 | Wife | — | Tennessee |
| 48 | L. J. Hill | 16 | Son | — | Arkansas |
| 49 | L. C. Hill | 13 | Son | — | Arkansas |
| 50 | L. B. Hill | 12 | Son | — | Arkansas |
About This Record & Model Tree
This record was independently indexed by YourRoots from the 1930 United States Federal Census (NARA). Our Model Tree links this person across census decades using XGBoost-based record linkage, with per-link confidence scores. Household corroboration strengthens the signal when co-residents appear on the same census pages in multiple years.
Source: National Archives and Records Administration (NARA)