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Patrick Kelly — 1940 US Census Record
Model Tree available1940 United States Federal Census · Erie-County, New York
Our Model Tree links this Patrick Kelly across the 1920, 1930 and 1940 US Censuses in Erie-County, New York (XGBoost, ~Confirmed), with identified parents James & James — first a son (b.~1915), then head of a 10-person household.
Age 25
b. ~1915
Male
Son
Born: New York
Single
1940 Census Record Details
| Census Year | 1940 |
| Location | Erie-County, New York |
| Surname | Kelly |
| Given Name | Patrick |
| Relationship to Head | Son |
| Sex | M |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 25 |
| Marital Status | Single |
| Birthplace | New York |
| 1935 Residence (City) | Hamburg Township |
| 1935 Residence (County) | Erie |
| Additional Details | |
| Occupation | farm laborer |
| Industry | farm |
| Class of Worker | PW |
| Hours Worked | 48 |
| Income (1939) | 52 |
| Highest Grade | Hs 4 |
| 1935 Residence | Same House |
| Birth State | New York |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | new york |
| Occupation | Farm Laborer |
| Township / Ward | Hamburg Township |
| Est. Birth Year | ~1915 |
Household Members
Census records only state relationship to the household head.
Pairwise kinship is derived (~90–95% accurate), not recorded.
Step/blended families and boarders can break it.
10 people recorded at the same address in the 1940 census.
| Name | Relation to head | Relative to Patrick | Age | Birth yr |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maralla Kelly | Other | — | 32 | ~1908 |
| Raymond Kelly | Other | — | 2 | ~1938 |
| Mary Kelly | Daughter | — | 19 | ~1921 |
| Margaret Kelly | Daughter | — | 17 | ~1923 |
| Phillip Kelly | Son | — | 15 | ~1925 |
| Patrick Kelly | Son | — | 25 | ~1915 |
| James Kelly | Head | — | 53 | ~1887 |
| Stanley Kelly | Son | — | 29 | ~1911 |
| Patricia Kelly | Other | — | 1 | ~1939 |
| Lottie Kelly | Spouse | — | 47 | ~1893 |
Census Appearances
1920
Erie, New …
Son, age 5
Erie, New York · implied b. ~1915 — 6 household members
●
Primary link
· ~Confirmed · 2 sources
XGBoost
Household
| Surname | Kelly |
| Given Name | Patrick |
| Relationship to Head | Son |
| Sex | M |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 5 |
| Marital Status | Single |
| Birthplace | New York |
| Father's Birthplace | Pennsylvania |
| Mother's Birthplace | Poland |
| Can Read | No |
| Can Write | No |
| Birth State | New York |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | new york |
1930
Erie, New …
Son, age 16
Erie, New York · implied b. ~1914 — 8 household members
●
Primary link
· ~Confirmed · 2 sources
XGBoost
Household
| Surname | Kelley |
| Given Name | Patrick |
| Relationship to Head | Son |
| Sex | M |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 16 |
| Marital Status | Single |
| Birthplace | New York |
| Father's Birthplace | Pennsylvania |
| Mother's Birthplace | New York |
| Occupation | Laborer |
| Industry | Basket Factory |
| Class of Worker | 7845 |
| Can Read/Write | Yes |
| Birth State | New York |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | new york |
1940
Erie-County, New …
Son, age 25
Erie-County, New York · implied b. ~1915 — 10 household members
| Surname | Kelly |
| Given Name | Patrick |
| Relationship to Head | Son |
| Sex | M |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 25 |
| Marital Status | Single |
| Birthplace | New York |
| 1935 Residence (City) | Hamburg Township |
| 1935 Residence (County) | Erie |
| Occupation | farm laborer |
| Industry | farm |
| Class of Worker | PW |
| Hours Worked | 48 |
| Income (1939) | 52 |
| Highest Grade | Hs 4 |
| 1935 Residence | Same House |
| Birth State | New York |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | new york |
Model Tree
An inferred pedigree reconstructed from census links — up to 4 generations within the 1900–1950 window. Closer generations are built from household co-residence; deeper ones are bridged by following a relative to their own childhood census. Confidence compounds and weakens with each generation.
Our Model Tree links Patrick Kelly across 3 US Census years (1920, 1930 and 1940) in 2 locations, using XGBoost record linkage. Identified parents: father James Kelly (~0.92 confidence) and father James Kelly (~0.92 confidence) and father James Kelley (~0.92 confidence) and mother Lottie Kelly (~0.92 confidence) and father Lottie Kelly (~0.92 confidence). The pedigree spans 1 generation with 5 identified ancestors.
Show:
Gen 1
Parents
confidence ≈ 0.92
Father
James Kelly
b. ~1885
Source father
● Household
· direct · ~0.92
Father
James Kelly
b. ~1887
Source father
● Household
· direct · ~0.92
Father
James Kelley
b. ~1890
Source father
● Household
· direct · ~0.92
Mother
Lottie Kelly
b. ~1893
Source mother
● Household
· direct · ~0.92
Father
Lottie Kelly
b. ~1893
Source father
● Household
· direct · ~0.92
This person
Anchor record
Patrick Kelly
Son · 1940 · age 25 · b. ~1915 · New York
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Sibling
Margaret Kelly
Sibling · 1940 · age 17
Source co-child of head (derived)
● Co-child · derived · ~0.88
Sibling
Stanley Kelly
Sibling · 1940 · age 29
Source co-child of head (derived)
● Co-child · derived · ~0.88
Sibling
Mary Kelly
Sibling · 1940 · age 19
Source co-child of head (derived)
● Co-child · derived · ~0.88
Sibling
Phillip Kelly
Sibling · 1940 · age 15
Source co-child of head (derived)
● Co-child · derived · ~0.88
Confirmed / household (~0.90+)
Probable / derived (~0.65–0.89)
Candidate (<0.65, unverified)
Original Census Page
1940 US Federal Census — Erie-County, New York
Open full size
1940 US Federal Census — Erie-County, New York
Page Contents
40 people indexed on this census page (nara:1940:m-t0627-02528-01097)
| Line | Name | Age | Relation | Occupation | Birthplace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marie Culkouski | 26 | Sister in law | — | New York |
| 2 | Edward Kern | 71 | Head | Farmer | New York |
| 3 | Anna Kern | 62 | Wife | — | Germany |
| 4 | Lucille Kern | 33 | Daughter | — | New York |
| 5 | Thomas Powers | 15 | Lodger | — | New York |
| 6 | James King | 12 | Lodger | — | New York |
| 7 | John Chazonowicz | 45 | Lodger | — | New York |
| 8 | Henry Cardwell | 66 | Head | Cattle Dealer | Canada-English |
| 9 | Cora Cardwell | 59 | Wife | — | New York |
| 10 | Bessie Cardwell | 19 | Daughter | Beauty Operator | New York |
| 11 | Henry Brocksopp | 50 | Head | Cattle Dealer | New York |
| 12 | Margaret Brocksopp | 46 | Wife | — | New York |
| 13 | Fay Brocksopp | 8 | Daughter | — | New York |
| 14 | Phillip Smith | 50 | Head | Stereotyper | New York |
| 15 | Julia Smith | 52 | Wife | — | New York |
| 16 | James Kelly | 53 | Head | Laborer | New York |
| 17 | Lottie Kelly | 47 | Wife | — | New York |
| 18 | Patrick Kelly THIS PERSON | 25 | Son | Farm Laborer | New York |
| 19 | Mary Kelly | 19 | Daughter | Waitress | New York |
| 20 | Margaret Kelly | 17 | Daughter | Housework | New York |
| 21 | Phillip Kelly | 15 | Son | — | New York |
| 22 | Stanley Kelly | 29 | Son | Laborer | New York |
| 23 | Maralla Kelly | 32 | Daughter-in-law | — | New York |
| 24 | Raymond Kelly | 2 | Grandson | — | New York |
| 25 | Patricia Kelly | 1 | Granddaughter | — | New York |
| 26 | Ludwig Poetzel | 51 | Head | Electrician | Germany |
| 27 | Emma Poetzel | 47 | Wife | — | Germany |
| 28 | Louis Buggenhagen | 58 | Head | Farmer | New York |
| 29 | Anna Buggenhagen | 63 | Wife | — | Germany |
| 30 | Pearl Buggenhagen | 19 | Daughter | Stenographer | New York |
| 31 | Thomas Friscia | 56 | Head | Brick-Maker | Yugoslavia |
| 32 | Josephine Friscia | 52 | Wife | — | Yugoslavia |
| 33 | Elva Friscia | 18 | Daughter | New Worker | New York |
| 34 | Viola Friscia | 17 | Daughter | — | New York |
| 35 | Olen Milliron | 48 | Head | Shear-Man | Pennsylvania |
| 36 | Blanche Milliron | 45 | Wife | — | Pennsylvania |
| 37 | Harry Milliron | 18 | Son | New Worker | Pennsylvania |
| 38 | Fay Milliron | 15 | Daughter | — | Pennsylvania |
| 39 | Ruth Milliron | 11 | Daughter | — | New York |
| 40 | Carlo Columbo | 59 | Head | Farmer | Italy |
Pedigree Summary
Patrick + 4 siblings
Gen 1 · 5 parents
~0.92
Max depth 4 (1900–1950 window)
About This Record & Model Tree
This record was independently indexed by YourRoots from the 1940 United States Federal Census (NARA). Our Model Tree links this person across census decades using XGBoost-based record linkage, with per-link confidence scores. Household corroboration strengthens the signal when co-residents appear on the same census pages in multiple years.
Source: National Archives and Records Administration (NARA)