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Patrick Kelly — 1940 US Census Record
Linked across censuses1940 United States Federal Census · Erie-County, New York
Our Model Tree links this Patrick Kelly across the 1920, 1930 and 1940 US Censuses in Erie-County, New York (XGBoost, ~Confirmed) — first a head (b.~1877), then head of a 6-person household.
Age 63
b. ~1877
Male
Head
Born: New York
Married
1940 Census Record Details
| Census Year | 1940 |
| Location | Erie-County, New York |
| Surname | Kelly |
| Given Name | Patrick J |
| Relationship to Head | Head |
| Sex | M |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 63 |
| Marital Status | Married |
| Birthplace | New York |
| 1935 Residence (City) | Tonawanda city |
| 1935 Residence (County) | Erie |
| Additional Details | |
| Occupation | lock operator |
| Industry | state canal |
| Class of Worker | GW |
| Income (1939) | 690 |
| Highest Grade | No 7 |
| 1935 Residence | Same house |
| Birth State | New York |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | new york |
| Occupation | Lock Operator |
| Township / Ward | Tonawanda City |
| Est. Birth Year | ~1877 |
Household Members
Census records only state relationship to the household head.
Pairwise kinship is derived (~90–95% accurate), not recorded.
Step/blended families and boarders can break it.
6 people recorded at the same address in the 1940 census.
| Name | Relation to head | Relative to Patrick | Age | Birth yr |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leonard Kelly | Son | — | 34 | ~1906 |
| Patrick Kelly | Head | — | 63 | ~1877 |
| Rosina Kelly | Daughter | — | 20 | ~1920 |
| Marie Kelly | Daughter | — | 33 | ~1907 |
| Hugh Kelly | Son | — | 27 | ~1913 |
| Clara Kelly | Spouse | — | 58 | ~1882 |
Census Appearances
1920
Erie, New …
Head, age 43
Erie, New York · implied b. ~1877 — 5 household members
●
Primary link
· ~Confirmed · 2 sources
XGBoost
Household
| Surname | Kelly |
| Given Name | Patrick J |
| Relationship to Head | Head |
| Sex | M |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 43 |
| Marital Status | Married |
| Birthplace | New York |
| Father's Birthplace | Ireland |
| Mother's Birthplace | Ireland |
| Occupation | Carpenter |
| Industry | House |
| Class of Worker | W |
| Can Read | Yes |
| Can Write | Yes |
| Speaks English | Yes |
| Mother Tongue | Irish |
| Home Owned/Rented | O |
| Home Free/Mortgaged | F |
| Birth State | New York |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | new york |
1930
Erie, New …
Head, age 54
Erie, New York · implied b. ~1876 — 5 household members
●
Primary link
· ~Confirmed · 2 sources
XGBoost
Household
| Surname | Kelly |
| Given Name | Patrick J. |
| Relationship to Head | Head |
| Sex | M |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 54 |
| Marital Status | Married |
| Birthplace | New York |
| Age at First Marriage | 27 |
| Father's Birthplace | Ireland Free State |
| Mother's Birthplace | Ireland Free State |
| Occupation | Carpenter |
| Industry | Amusement Devices |
| Class of Worker | W |
| Can Read/Write | Yes |
| Home Owned/Rented | O |
| Home Value / Rent | 3100.00 |
| Radio Set | R |
| Birth State | New York |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | new york |
1940
Erie-County, New …
Head, age 63
Erie-County, New York · implied b. ~1877 — 6 household members
| Surname | Kelly |
| Given Name | Patrick J |
| Relationship to Head | Head |
| Sex | M |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 63 |
| Marital Status | Married |
| Birthplace | New York |
| 1935 Residence (City) | Tonawanda city |
| 1935 Residence (County) | Erie |
| Occupation | lock operator |
| Industry | state canal |
| Class of Worker | GW |
| Income (1939) | 690 |
| Highest Grade | No 7 |
| 1935 Residence | Same house |
| Birth State | New York |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | new york |
Model Tree
An inferred pedigree reconstructed from census links — up to 4 generations within the 1900–1950 window. Closer generations are built from household co-residence; deeper ones are bridged by following a relative to their own childhood census. Confidence compounds and weakens with each generation.
Our Model Tree links Patrick Kelly across 3 US Census years (1920, 1930 and 1940) in 2 locations, using XGBoost record linkage.
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This person
Anchor record
Patrick Kelly
Head · 1940 · age 63 · b. ~1877 · New York
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Confirmed / household (~0.90+)
Probable / derived (~0.65–0.89)
Candidate (<0.65, unverified)
Original Census Page
1940 US Federal Census — Erie-County, New York
Open full size
1940 US Federal Census — Erie-County, New York
Page Contents
40 people indexed on this census page (nara:1940:m-t0627-02530-00664)
| Line | Name | Age | Relation | Occupation | Birthplace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gerald E Hoppe | 6 | Son | — | New York |
| 2 | Millard E Davison | 52 | Head | Machinist | Pennsylvania |
| 3 | Lillian Davison | 57 | Wife | — | New York |
| 4 | Virginia Davison | 19 | Daughter | Office Clerk | New York |
| 5 | Anthony Kolb | 74 | Head | — | Germany |
| 6 | Fredericka Kolb | 70 | Wife | — | Germany |
| 7 | Alfred Kloss | 32 | Son | Refiner | New York |
| 8 | Albert Kloss | 46 | Head | Shipping Clerk | New York |
| 9 | Matilda Kloss | 47 | Daughter | — | New York |
| 10 | Hugh O'Hagan | 69 | Head | — | Canada English |
| 11 | Mary O'Hagan | 64 | Wife | — | New York |
| 12 | Albert Witt | 49 | Head | Tool Maker | Michigan |
| 13 | Wilhelmina Witt | 47 | Wife | — | New York |
| 14 | Albert Jr Witt | 22 | Son | Press Operator | New York |
| 15 | Carl Shreiber | 78 | Uncle | — | Germany |
| 16 | Patrick J Kelly THIS PERSON | 63 | Head | Lock Operator | New York |
| 17 | Clara Kelly | 58 | Wife | — | New York |
| 18 | Leonard Kelly | 34 | Son | Paper Maker | New York |
| 19 | Marie Kelly | 33 | Daughter | Stenographer | New York |
| 20 | Hugh Kelly | 27 | Son | Pipe Fitter | New York |
| 21 | Rosina Kelly | 20 | Daughter | None | New York |
| 22 | Wilbert Haller | 44 | Head | Contractor | New York |
| 23 | Bertha Haller | 45 | Wife | — | New York |
| 24 | Geraldine Haller | 20 | Daughter | — | New York |
| 25 | Blake Haller | 19 | Son | — | New York |
| 26 | Betty Haller | 18 | Daughter | — | New York |
| 27 | Doris Haller | 16 | Daughter | — | New York |
| 28 | Jack Haller | 14 | Son | — | New York |
| 29 | Eugene Haller | 12 | Son | — | New York |
| 30 | Imelda Haller | 11 | Daughter | — | New York |
| 31 | Virginia Haller | 8 | Daughter | — | New York |
| 32 | Richard Haller | 5 | Son | — | New York |
| 33 | Kenneth Haller | 3 | Son | — | New York |
| 34 | Ralph Barker | 29 | Head | Operator | Pennsylvania |
| 35 | Florence Barker | 27 | Wife | — | Pennsylvania |
| 36 | Joseph Heimbach | 60 | Head | Labor | New York |
| 37 | Catherine K Heimbach | 60 | Wife | — | New York |
| 38 | Albert Hall | 29 | Head | Assembler | New York |
| 39 | Mildred Hall | 26 | Wife | — | New York |
| 40 | Lorraine Hall | 5 | Daughter | — | New York |
About This Record & Model Tree
This record was independently indexed by YourRoots from the 1940 United States Federal Census (NARA). Our Model Tree links this person across census decades using XGBoost-based record linkage, with per-link confidence scores. Household corroboration strengthens the signal when co-residents appear on the same census pages in multiple years.
Source: National Archives and Records Administration (NARA)