WB
William Bailey — 1940 US Census Record
Model Tree available1940 United States Federal Census · Armstrong-County, Pennsylvania
Our Model Tree links this William Bailey across the 1920, 1930 and 1940 US Censuses in Armstrong-County, Pennsylvania (XGBoost, ~Confirmed), with identified parents Jesse & Delitha — first a son (b.~1916), then head of a 4-person household.
Age 24
b. ~1916
Male
Son
Born: Pennsylvania
Single
1940 Census Record Details
| Census Year | 1940 |
| Location | Armstrong-County, Pennsylvania |
| Surname | Bailey |
| Given Name | William M. |
| Relationship to Head | Son |
| Sex | M |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 24 |
| Marital Status | Single |
| Birthplace | Pennsylvania |
| 1935 Residence (City) | Unincorporated place Oak Ridge |
| 1935 Residence (County) | Armstrong |
| Additional Details | |
| Occupation | Laborer |
| Industry | Road Project |
| Class of Worker | GW |
| Hours Worked | 32 |
| Income (1939) | 123 |
| Highest Grade | No 8 |
| 1935 Residence | Same place |
| Birth State | Pennsylvania |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | pennsylvania |
| Occupation | Laborer |
| Township / Ward | Unincorporated Place Oak Ridge |
| Est. Birth Year | ~1916 |
Household Members
Census records only state relationship to the household head.
Pairwise kinship is derived (~90–95% accurate), not recorded.
Step/blended families and boarders can break it.
4 people recorded at the same address in the 1940 census.
| Name | Relation to head | Relative to William | Age | Birth yr |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lavern Bailey | Daughter | — | 17 | ~1923 |
| Jesse Bailey | Head | — | 60 | ~1880 |
| William Bailey | Son | — | 24 | ~1916 |
| Tibitha Bailey | Spouse | — | 61 | ~1879 |
Census Appearances
1920
Armstrong, Pennsylvania
Son, age 4
Armstrong, Pennsylvania · implied b. ~1916 — 8 household members
●
Primary link
· ~Confirmed · 2 sources
XGBoost
Household
| Surname | Bailey |
| Given Name | William |
| Relationship to Head | Son |
| Sex | M |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 4 |
| Marital Status | Single |
| Birthplace | Pennsylvania |
| Father's Birthplace | Pennsylvania |
| Mother's Birthplace | Pennsylvania |
| Birth State | Pennsylvania |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | pennsylvania |
1930
Armstrong, Pennsylvania
Son, age 14
Armstrong, Pennsylvania · implied b. ~1916 — 5 household members
●
Primary link
· ~Confirmed · 2 sources
XGBoost
Household
| Surname | Bailey |
| Given Name | William |
| Relationship to Head | Son |
| Sex | M |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 14 |
| Marital Status | Single |
| Birthplace | Pennsylvania |
| Father's Birthplace | Pennsylvania |
| Mother's Birthplace | Pennsylvania |
| Can Read/Write | Yes |
| Birth State | Pennsylvania |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | pennsylvania |
1940
Armstrong-County, Pennsylvania
Son, age 24
Armstrong-County, Pennsylvania · implied b. ~1916 — 4 household members
| Surname | Bailey |
| Given Name | William M. |
| Relationship to Head | Son |
| Sex | M |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 24 |
| Marital Status | Single |
| Birthplace | Pennsylvania |
| 1935 Residence (City) | Unincorporated place Oak Ridge |
| 1935 Residence (County) | Armstrong |
| Occupation | Laborer |
| Industry | Road Project |
| Class of Worker | GW |
| Hours Worked | 32 |
| Income (1939) | 123 |
| Highest Grade | No 8 |
| 1935 Residence | Same place |
| Birth State | Pennsylvania |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | pennsylvania |
Model Tree
An inferred pedigree reconstructed from census links — up to 4 generations within the 1900–1950 window. Closer generations are built from household co-residence; deeper ones are bridged by following a relative to their own childhood census. Confidence compounds and weakens with each generation.
Our Model Tree links William Bailey across 3 US Census years (1920, 1930 and 1940) in 2 locations, using XGBoost record linkage. Identified parents: father Jesse Bailey (~0.92 confidence) and mother Delitha Bailey (~0.92 confidence) and mother Tibitha Bailey (~0.92 confidence) and father Jesse Bailey (~0.92 confidence) and father Jesse Bailey (~0.92 confidence) and mother Tabitha Bailey (~0.92 confidence). The pedigree spans 1 generation with 6 identified ancestors.
Show:
Gen 1
Parents
confidence ≈ 0.92
Father
Jesse Bailey
b. ~1870
Source father
● Household
· direct · ~0.92
Mother
Delitha Bailey
b. ~1873
Source mother
● Household
· direct · ~0.92
Mother
Tibitha Bailey
b. ~1879
Source mother
● Household
· direct · ~0.92
Father
Jesse Bailey
b. ~1880
Source father
● Household
· direct · ~0.92
Father
Jesse Bailey
b. ~1880
Source father
● Household
· direct · ~0.92
Mother
Tabitha Bailey
b. ~1880
Source mother
● Household
· direct · ~0.92
This person
Anchor record
William Bailey
Son · 1940 · age 24 · b. ~1916 · Pennsylvania
★ You are viewing this record
Sibling
Lavern Bailey
Sibling · 1940 · age 17
Source co-child of head (derived)
● Co-child · derived · ~0.88
Confirmed / household (~0.90+)
Probable / derived (~0.65–0.89)
Candidate (<0.65, unverified)
Original Census Page
1940 US Federal Census — Armstrong-County, Pennsylvania
Open full size
1940 US Federal Census — Armstrong-County, Pennsylvania
Page Contents
40 people indexed on this census page (nara:1940:m-t0627-03424-00464)
| Line | Name | Age | Relation | Occupation | Birthplace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shirley Crawford | 8 | Daughter | — | Pennsylvania |
| 2 | Myron Crawford | 5 | Son | — | Pennsylvania |
| 3 | Lois Crawford | 3 | Daughter | — | Pennsylvania |
| 4 | John Crawford | 77 | Father-in-law | — | Pennsylvania |
| 5 | Robert D. Shick | 44 | Head | Laborer | Pennsylvania |
| 6 | Westie Shick | 39 | Wife | Nursing | Pennsylvania |
| 7 | Marjory Shick | 17 | Daughter | — | Pennsylvania |
| 8 | William Shick | 13 | Son | — | Pennsylvania |
| 9 | Paul Miller | 26 | Son-in-law | Miner | Pennsylvania |
| 10 | Jane Miller | 19 | Daughter | — | Pennsylvania |
| 11 | Robert Miller | 1 | Grandson | — | Pennsylvania |
| 12 | Wade C. Rearick | 58 | Head | Laborer | Pennsylvania |
| 13 | Oma Rearick | 57 | Wife | — | Pennsylvania |
| 14 | Jesse M. Bailey | 60 | Head | Laborer | Pennsylvania |
| 15 | Tibitha Bailey | 61 | Wife | — | Pennsylvania |
| 16 | William M. Bailey THIS PERSON | 24 | Son | Laborer | Pennsylvania |
| 17 | Lavern Bailey | 17 | Daughter | — | Pennsylvania |
| 18 | Harry M. Wolcheckengost | 46 | Head | Miner | Pennsylvania |
| 19 | Cleta N. Wolcheckengost | 33 | Wife | — | Pennsylvania |
| 20 | Ceryl C. Smith | 32 | Head | Plumber | Pennsylvania |
| 21 | Jessie D. Smith | 26 | Wife | — | Pennsylvania |
| 22 | Delwin C. Berheisel | 44 | Head | Laborer | Pennsylvania |
| 23 | Lavina Berheisel | 36 | Wife | — | Pennsylvania |
| 24 | Nona Gale Berheisel | 9 | Daughter | — | Pennsylvania |
| 25 | Edna Lee Berheisel | 7 | Daughter | — | Pennsylvania |
| 26 | Cladine Berheisel | 5 | Daughter | — | Pennsylvania |
| 27 | Boyd G. Shick | 48 | Head | Miner | Pennsylvania |
| 28 | Ethel A. Shick | 47 | Wife | — | Pennsylvania |
| 29 | Eugene E. Shick | 18 | Son | — | Pennsylvania |
| 30 | Glenn C. Shick | 22 | Head | Truck Driver | Pennsylvania |
| 31 | Ruth Shick | 18 | Wife | — | Pennsylvania |
| 32 | Sally Ann Shick | 1 | Daughter | — | Pennsylvania |
| 33 | Harlan P. Engle | 35 | Head | Merchant | Pennsylvania |
| 34 | Dora L. Engle | 27 | Wife | — | Pennsylvania |
| 35 | Doris L. Engle | 9 | Daughter | — | Pennsylvania |
| 36 | Anna L. Engle | 7 | Daughter | — | Pennsylvania |
| 37 | Shirley E. Engle | 2 | Daughter | — | Pennsylvania |
| 38 | Richard P. Engle | 1 | Son | — | Pennsylvania |
| 39 | George P. Beatty | 69 | Head | Laborer | Pennsylvania |
| 40 | Anna Beatty | 68 | Wife | — | Pennsylvania |
Pedigree Summary
William + 1 sibling
Gen 1 · 6 parents
~0.92
Max depth 4 (1900–1950 window)
About This Record & Model Tree
This record was independently indexed by YourRoots from the 1940 United States Federal Census (NARA). Our Model Tree links this person across census decades using XGBoost-based record linkage, with per-link confidence scores. Household corroboration strengthens the signal when co-residents appear on the same census pages in multiple years.
Source: National Archives and Records Administration (NARA)