WP
William Paul — 1940 US Census Record
Model Tree available1940 United States Federal Census · Saginaw-County, Michigan
Our Model Tree links this William Paul across the 1920, 1930 and 1940 US Censuses in Saginaw-County, Michigan (XGBoost, ~Confirmed), with identified parents Jessie & Gertie — first a son (b.~1918), then head of a 5-person household.
Age 22
b. ~1918
Male
Son
Born: Michigan
Single
1940 Census Record Details
| Census Year | 1940 |
| Location | Saginaw-County, Michigan |
| Surname | Paul |
| Given Name | William |
| Relationship to Head | Son |
| Sex | M |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 22 |
| Marital Status | Single |
| Birthplace | Michigan |
| 1935 Residence (City) | Saginaw |
| 1935 Residence (County) | Saginaw |
| Additional Details | |
| Occupation | Machinist helper |
| Industry | Bakery |
| Class of Worker | PW |
| Hours Worked | 48 |
| Income (1939) | 936 |
| Highest Grade | H-4 |
| 1935 Residence | Michigan |
| Birth State | Michigan |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | michigan |
| Occupation | Machinist Helper |
| Township / Ward | Saginaw City |
| Est. Birth Year | ~1918 |
Household Members
Census records only state relationship to the household head.
Pairwise kinship is derived (~90–95% accurate), not recorded.
Step/blended families and boarders can break it.
5 people recorded at the same address in the 1940 census.
| Name | Relation to head | Relative to William | Age | Birth yr |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gertie Paul | Spouse | — | 52 | ~1888 |
| Grace Paul | Daughter | — | 28 | ~1912 |
| Ralph Paul | Head | — | 52 | ~1888 |
| Dorothy Paul | Daughter | — | 16 | ~1924 |
| William Paul | Son | — | 22 | ~1918 |
Census Appearances
1920
Saginaw, Michigan
Son, age 2
Saginaw, Michigan · implied b. ~1918 — 4 household members
●
Primary link
· ~Confirmed · 2 sources
XGBoost
Household
| Surname | Paul |
| Given Name | William |
| Relationship to Head | Son |
| Sex | M |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 2 |
| Marital Status | Single |
| Birthplace | Michigan |
| Father's Birthplace | Michigan |
| Mother's Birthplace | Michigan |
| Birth State | Michigan |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | michigan |
1930
Saginaw, Michigan
Son, age 12
Saginaw, Michigan · implied b. ~1918 — 5 household members
●
Primary link
· ~Confirmed · 2 sources
XGBoost
Household
| Surname | Paul |
| Given Name | William |
| Relationship to Head | Son |
| Sex | M |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 12 |
| Marital Status | Single |
| Birthplace | Michigan |
| Father's Birthplace | Michigan |
| Mother's Birthplace | Michigan |
| Can Read/Write | Yes |
| Birth State | Michigan |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | michigan |
1940
Saginaw-County, Michigan
Son, age 22
Saginaw-County, Michigan · implied b. ~1918 — 5 household members
| Surname | Paul |
| Given Name | William |
| Relationship to Head | Son |
| Sex | M |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 22 |
| Marital Status | Single |
| Birthplace | Michigan |
| 1935 Residence (City) | Saginaw |
| 1935 Residence (County) | Saginaw |
| Occupation | Machinist helper |
| Industry | Bakery |
| Class of Worker | PW |
| Hours Worked | 48 |
| Income (1939) | 936 |
| Highest Grade | H-4 |
| 1935 Residence | Michigan |
| Birth State | Michigan |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | michigan |
Model Tree
An inferred pedigree reconstructed from census links — up to 4 generations within the 1900–1950 window. Closer generations are built from household co-residence; deeper ones are bridged by following a relative to their own childhood census. Confidence compounds and weakens with each generation.
Our Model Tree links William Paul across 3 US Census years (1920, 1930 and 1940) in 2 locations, using XGBoost record linkage. Identified parents: mother Jessie Paul (~0.92 confidence) and mother Gertie Paul (~0.92 confidence) and father Ralph Paul (~0.92 confidence). The pedigree spans 1 generation with 3 identified ancestors.
Show:
Gen 1
Parents
confidence ≈ 0.92
Mother
Jessie Paul
b. ~1887
Source mother
● Household
· direct · ~0.92
Mother
Gertie Paul
b. ~1888
Source mother
● Household
· direct · ~0.92
Father
Ralph Paul
b. ~1888
Source father
● Household
· direct · ~0.92
This person
Anchor record
William Paul
Son · 1940 · age 22 · b. ~1918 · Michigan
★ You are viewing this record
Sibling
Grace Paul
Sibling · 1940 · age 28
Source co-child of head (derived)
● Co-child · derived · ~0.88
Sibling
Dorothy Paul
Sibling · 1940 · age 16
Source co-child of head (derived)
● Co-child · derived · ~0.88
Confirmed / household (~0.90+)
Probable / derived (~0.65–0.89)
Candidate (<0.65, unverified)
Original Census Page
1940 US Federal Census — Saginaw-County, Michigan
Open full size
1940 US Federal Census — Saginaw-County, Michigan
Page Contents
40 people indexed on this census page (nara:1940:m-t0627-01812-00719)
| Line | Name | Age | Relation | Occupation | Birthplace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | William H Roberts | 72 | Head | Sheet Metal | Canada English |
| 2 | Florence E Roberts | 65 | Wife | — | Michigan |
| 3 | Byron E. Roberts | 24 | Son | Baker | Michigan |
| 4 | Dorothy Roberts | 21 | Daughter | Clerk | Michigan |
| 5 | Byron E. Jr Roberts | 2 | Grandson | — | Michigan |
| 6 | Carl Niemeyer | 30 | Head | Core Maker | Michigan |
| 7 | Georgina Niemeyer | 26 | Wife | — | Michigan |
| 8 | James Niemeyer | 5 | Son | — | Michigan |
| 9 | Lois Niemeyer | 4 | Daughter | — | Michigan |
| 10 | Earl Niemeyer | 3 | Son | — | Michigan |
| 11 | Frederick Niemeyer | 2 | Son | — | Michigan |
| 12 | Ralph Paul | 52 | Head | Salesman | Michigan |
| 13 | Gertie Paul | 52 | Wife | — | Michigan |
| 14 | Grace Paul | 28 | Daughter | Clerk | Michigan |
| 15 | William Paul THIS PERSON | 22 | Son | Machinist Helper | Michigan |
| 16 | Dorothy Paul | 16 | Daughter | — | Michigan |
| 17 | Arthur Pauch | 29 | Head | Manager Store | Michigan |
| 18 | Dorothy Pauch | 28 | Wife | — | Michigan |
| 19 | Dean Pauch | 1 | Son | — | Michigan |
| 20 | Albert Schinoff | 68 | Head | — | Michigan |
| 21 | Ada Schinoff | 64 | Wife | — | Michigan |
| 22 | Arthur Schinoff | 44 | Son | Ronald Machine | Michigan |
| 23 | James Carr | 40 | Head | Car Washer | Alabama |
| 24 | William Carr | 38 | Wife | — | West Virginia |
| 25 | Samuel Collier | 36 | Head | Laborer | Georgia |
| 26 | Elsie Collier | 19 | Wife | — | Michigan |
| 27 | Helen Collier | 1 | Daughter | — | Michigan |
| 28 | Samuel Jr Collier | 0 | Son | — | Michigan |
| 29 | Charles Hill | 19 | Step son | Janitor | Michigan |
| 30 | Anna Hatfield | 69 | Lodger | — | Michigan |
| 31 | John D. Lucas | 41 | Head | Barber | Canada English |
| 32 | Myrtle M Lucas | 43 | Wife | — | Michigan |
| 33 | John Greve | 60 | Head | Machinist | Michigan |
| 34 | Mary Greve | 58 | Wife | — | Michigan |
| 35 | Helen Greve | 22 | Daughter | Clerk | Michigan |
| 36 | Edward J. Beck | 51 | Head | Janitor | Michigan |
| 37 | Catherine Beck | 50 | Wife | — | Michigan |
| 38 | Albert Watters | 55 | Head | Supervisor | Michigan |
| 39 | Bertha L Watters | 52 | Wife | — | Michigan |
| 40 | James E Watters | 19 | Son | Apprentice Machinist | Michigan |
Pedigree Summary
William + 2 siblings
Gen 1 · 3 parents
~0.92
Max depth 4 (1900–1950 window)
About This Record & Model Tree
This record was independently indexed by YourRoots from the 1940 United States Federal Census (NARA). Our Model Tree links this person across census decades using XGBoost-based record linkage, with per-link confidence scores. Household corroboration strengthens the signal when co-residents appear on the same census pages in multiple years.
Source: National Archives and Records Administration (NARA)