WB
Willie Bailey — 1940 US Census Record
Model Tree available1940 United States Federal Census · Estill-County, Kentucky
Our Model Tree links this Willie Bailey across the 1920, 1930 and 1940 US Censuses in Estill-County, Kentucky (XGBoost, ~Confirmed), with identified parents John & Lula — first a head (b.~1910), then head of a 7-person household.
Age 30
b. ~1910
Male
Head
Born: Kentucky
Married
1940 Census Record Details
| Census Year | 1940 |
| Location | Estill-County, Kentucky |
| Surname | Bailey |
| Given Name | Willie |
| Relationship to Head | Head |
| Sex | M |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 30 |
| Marital Status | Married |
| Birthplace | Kentucky |
| 1935 Residence (City) | Millers Creek - 2 |
| 1935 Residence (County) | Estill |
| Additional Details | |
| Occupation | farmer |
| Industry | own farm |
| Class of Worker | NP |
| Hours Worked | 40 |
| Income (1939) | 0 |
| Highest Grade | No 4 |
| 1935 Residence | Same place |
| Birth State | Kentucky |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | kentucky |
| Occupation | Farmer |
| Township / Ward | Millers Creek 2 |
| Est. Birth Year | ~1910 |
Household Members
Census records only state relationship to the household head.
Pairwise kinship is derived (~90–95% accurate), not recorded.
Step/blended families and boarders can break it.
7 people recorded at the same address in the 1940 census.
| Name | Relation to head | Relative to Willie | Age | Birth yr |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ralph Bailey | Son | — | ~1940 | |
| Eliza Bailey | Other | — | 79 | ~1861 |
| Aline Bailey | Daughter | — | 5 | ~1935 |
| Willie Bailey | Head | — | 30 | ~1910 |
| Mabel Bailey | Daughter | — | 3 | ~1937 |
| Crystal Bailey | Spouse | — | 23 | ~1917 |
| Imalene Bailey | Daughter | — | 7 | ~1933 |
Census Appearances
1920
Estill, Kentucky
Son, age 9
Estill, Kentucky · implied b. ~1911 — 5 household members
●
Primary link
· ~Confirmed · 2 sources
XGBoost
Household
| Surname | Bailey |
| Given Name | Willie E. |
| Relationship to Head | Son |
| Sex | M |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 9 |
| Marital Status | Single |
| Birthplace | Kentucky |
| Father's Birthplace | Kentucky |
| Mother's Birthplace | Kentucky |
| Can Read | Yes |
| Can Write | Yes |
| Speaks English | Yes |
| Birth State | Kentucky |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | kentucky |
1930
Estill, Kentucky
Son, age 19
Estill, Kentucky · implied b. ~1911 — 10 household members
●
Primary link
· ~Confirmed · 2 sources
XGBoost
Household
| Surname | Bailey |
| Given Name | Willie |
| Relationship to Head | son |
| Sex | M |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 19 |
| Marital Status | Single |
| Birthplace | Kentucky |
| Father's Birthplace | Kentucky |
| Mother's Birthplace | Kentucky |
| Occupation | none |
| Class of Worker | VVVW |
| Can Read/Write | Yes |
| Veteran | No |
| Birth State | Kentucky |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | kentucky |
1940
Estill-County, Kentucky
Head, age 30
Estill-County, Kentucky · implied b. ~1910 — 7 household members
| Surname | Bailey |
| Given Name | Willie |
| Relationship to Head | Head |
| Sex | M |
| Color / Race | White |
| Age | 30 |
| Marital Status | Married |
| Birthplace | Kentucky |
| 1935 Residence (City) | Millers Creek - 2 |
| 1935 Residence (County) | Estill |
| Occupation | farmer |
| Industry | own farm |
| Class of Worker | NP |
| Hours Worked | 40 |
| Income (1939) | 0 |
| Highest Grade | No 4 |
| 1935 Residence | Same place |
| Birth State | Kentucky |
| Birth Country | United States |
| Birthplace (normalized) | kentucky |
Model Tree
An inferred pedigree reconstructed from census links — up to 4 generations within the 1900–1950 window. Closer generations are built from household co-residence; deeper ones are bridged by following a relative to their own childhood census. Confidence compounds and weakens with each generation.
Our Model Tree links Willie Bailey across 3 US Census years (1920, 1930 and 1940) in 2 locations, using XGBoost record linkage. Identified parents: father John Bailey (~0.92 confidence) and mother Lula Bailey (~0.92 confidence). The pedigree spans 1 generation with 2 identified ancestors.
Show:
Gen 1
Parents
confidence ≈ 0.92
Father
John Bailey
b. ~1885
Source father
● Household
· direct · ~0.92
Mother
Lula Bailey
b. ~1885
Source mother
● Household
· direct · ~0.92
This person
Anchor record
Willie Bailey
Head · 1940 · age 30 · b. ~1910 · Kentucky
★ You are viewing this record
Confirmed / household (~0.90+)
Probable / derived (~0.65–0.89)
Candidate (<0.65, unverified)
Original Census Page
1940 US Federal Census — Estill-County, Kentucky
Open full size
1940 US Federal Census — Estill-County, Kentucky
Page Contents
40 people indexed on this census page (nara:1940:m-t0627-01301-00181)
| Line | Name | Age | Relation | Occupation | Birthplace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | Nannie Bailey | 2 | daughter | — | Kentucky |
| 42 | Anna Bailey | 1 | daughter | — | Kentucky |
| 43 | Chester Bailey | 31 | Head | Laborer | Kentucky |
| 44 | Mattie Bailey | 29 | wife | Housekeeper | Kentucky |
| 45 | Catharine Bailey | 11 | daughter | — | Kentucky |
| 46 | Laura Ann Bailey | 9 | daughter | — | Kentucky |
| 47 | Martin Bailey | 7 | son | — | Kentucky |
| 48 | Bertha Lee Bailey | 5 | daughter | — | Kentucky |
| 49 | Myrtle Mae Bailey | 3 | daughter | — | Kentucky |
| 50 | Shelby Bailey | 2 | son | — | Kentucky |
| 51 | W. M. Keffitt | Reffitt | 52 | Head | Farmer | Kentucky |
| 52 | Maggie Keffitt | Reffitt | 39 | wife | Housekeeper | Kentucky |
| 53 | John Thomas Keffitt | Reffitt | 17 | son | — | Kentucky |
| 54 | James Keffitt | Reffitt | 15 | son | — | Kentucky |
| 55 | Robert Keffitt | Reffitt | 12 | son | — | Kentucky |
| 56 | Edith Keffitt | Reffitt | 10 | daughter | — | Kentucky |
| 57 | William Jr. Keffitt | Reffitt | 8 | son | — | Kentucky |
| 58 | Betty Jean Keffitt | Reffitt | 5 | daughter | — | Kentucky |
| 59 | Bertha Keffitt | Reffitt | 1 | daughter | — | Kentucky |
| 60 | Martin V. Bailey | 60 | Head | Salesman | Kentucky |
| 61 | Loretta Bailey | 51 | wife | Housekeeper | Kentucky |
| 62 | Elzie Bailey | 28 | son | Farmer | Kentucky |
| 63 | Della Mae Bailey | 28 | daughter in law | Housekeeper | Kentucky |
| 64 | Jessie Hugh Bailey | 3 | grandson | — | Kentucky |
| 65 | Lodena Bailey | 1 | granddaughter | — | Kentucky |
| 66 | Laura Shearer | 76 | mother in law | — | Kentucky |
| 67 | H. J. Bailey | 33 | Head | Laborer | Kentucky |
| 68 | Gladys Bailey | 26 | wife | Housekeeper | Kentucky |
| 69 | Naomi Bailey | 4 | daughter | — | Kentucky |
| 70 | Ada Marie Bailey | 3 | daughter | — | Kentucky |
| 71 | Hardy Jr. Bailey | 0 | son | — | Kentucky |
| 72 | Willie Bailey THIS PERSON | 30 | Head | Farmer | Kentucky |
| 73 | Crystal Bailey | 23 | wife | Housekeeper | Kentucky |
| 74 | Imalene Bailey | 7 | daughter | — | Kentucky |
| 75 | Aline Bailey | 5 | daughter | — | Kentucky |
| 76 | Mabel Bailey | 3 | daughter | — | Kentucky |
| 77 | Ralph Bailey | 0 | son | — | Kentucky |
| 78 | Eliza Ann Bailey | 79 | mother | None | Kentucky |
| 79 | Clem Townsend | 62 | Head | Laborer | Kentucky |
| 80 | Nanda Mae Townsend | 15 | daughter | — | Kentucky |
Pedigree Summary
Willie
Gen 1 · 2 parents
~0.92
Max depth 4 (1900–1950 window)
About This Record & Model Tree
This record was independently indexed by YourRoots from the 1940 United States Federal Census (NARA). Our Model Tree links this person across census decades using XGBoost-based record linkage, with per-link confidence scores. Household corroboration strengthens the signal when co-residents appear on the same census pages in multiple years.
Source: National Archives and Records Administration (NARA)